I went out on a limb last week, and now it’s time to see how that decision played out.
I predicted that Krispy Kreme Doughnuts (NYSE:KKD) would move higher on the week. The maker of decadent doughnut treats was reporting earnings on Thursday, and after beating Wall Street profit forecasts by 50% or better in the previous three quarters, the trend suggested another winning report. That didn’t happen. Krispy Kreme Doughnuts (NYSE:KKD) fell short on the bottom line, and the stock wound up losing 1% of its value on the week. I was wrong.
I predicted that the tech-heavy Nasdaq would outperform the Dow Jones Industrial Average. . This has been a tricky call lately, so how did it play out this time? The Dow’s 10-day winning streak came to a close, but the Nasdaq has been far more volatile. After a strong showing a week earlier, the Nasdaq closed just 0.1% higher. The Dow, on the other hand, managed to clock in with a 0.8% gain on the week. I was wrong.
My final call was for Ebix Inc (NASDAQ:EBIX) to beat Wall Street’s quarterly profit target. The provider of enterprise software solutions for the insurance industry has been a serial outperformer, blowing through Wall Street’s bottom-line forecasts with ease over the past year. Analysts were looking for a profit of $0.45 a share during the quarter, and it came through with net income of $0.48 a share. I was right.
One out of three? I know that I can do better than that.
Let me once again whip out my trusty, dusty, and occasionally accurate crystal ball to make three calls that may play out over the next few trading days.
1.Baidu will bounce back this week
While the Dow rallied through 10 straight days of fresh highs, some stocks went the other way. Baidu.com, Inc. (ADR) (NASDAQ:BIDU), for one, was a major disappointment, hitting a new two-year low on Friday.
China’s leading search engine has had its challenges lately, but it should never be trading this low. Baidu is now selling for less than 13 times next year’s projected profitability, even though it’s still growing at a considerably headier pace than that.
On Thursday, I fleshed out my argument for a bottoming out at Baidu.com, Inc. (ADR) (NASDAQ:BIDU). Some Chinese stocks deserve to be marked down, but not this one. My first call is for Baidu to close the week higher.
2.The Nasdaq Composite will beat the Dow this week
Tech has been a big winner in recent years, so betting on tech over stodgy blue chips has been a good bet for me more often than not. I’m going to stick with this pick. Most of the names in the composite are just too cheap at this point. The market is ripe for the tech-stacked secondary stocks to continue to outpace the 30 megacaps that make up the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
