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UBS Sticks With Sell on Tesla (TSLA) as AI Optimism Runs Ahead of Fundamentals

Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) is one of the AI Stocks on the Market’s Radar. On January 5, UBS analyst Joseph Spak reiterated a Sell rating on the stock with a $247.00 price target. While the firm is bullish on Tesla’s technological progress, it believes that AI upside is more than priced in.

According to Spak, Tesla’s stock continues to rise despite declining electric vehicle sales and negative earnings revisions, with the bull case remaining about robo taxis and Optimus. Consensus EPS estimates for 2025 and 2026 are an estimated 50% and 46% lower than they were a year ago.

The firm believes that the market is assigning a higher value to Tesla’s artificial intelligence ventures, while applying a declining valuation to the company’s core EV business.

Photo by Tesla Fans Schweiz on Unsplash

“So in our view, given a declining valuation for TSLA’s EV business, the market is already assigning a higher and higher value to the AI ventures. While the TAM for these ventures may be large, they could also be further out (especially Optimus). Still, this could make 2026 another year of milestone catalysts propelling the stock.”

UBS highlighted several positive catalysts working in favour of Tesla, including removing safety driver in Austin robotaxis, expansion of the ODD and the number cities for robotaxi, opening robotaxi for public use, FSD version updates, Cybercab production update, and Optimus V3 updates.

Besides these catalysts, Tesla’s technological progress is also worth noting, but is already baked into the stock price.

“Potential positive catalysts include: 1) taking out the safety driver in Austin robotaxi, 2) expanding the ODD and the number cities for robo-taxi, 3) opening up robo-taxi to public use, 4) FSD version updates, 5) Cybercab production SOP, 6) Optimus V3 updates. The bear case remains more anchored to valuation. While we are more positive than not on TSLA tech and progress, and believe there could be a strong milestone catalyst path, we do believe that many of these ventures/developments are already (more than) baked into the stock price.”

Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) is an automotive and clean energy company that leverages advanced artificial intelligence in its autonomous driving technology and robotics initiatives.

While we acknowledge the risk and potential of TSLA as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than TSLA and that has 10,000% upside potential, check out our report about this cheapest AI stock.

READ NEXT: 10 Best AI Stocks to Buy Under $50 and 11 AI Stocks on the Market’s Radar

Disclosure: None.

The $250 Trillion AI Hype is Real. A few years from now, you’ll probably wish you’d bought this stock.

Dr. Inan Dogan

Dr. Ian Dogan

Co-Founder and Research Director at Insider Monkey

When Jeff Bezos said that one breakthrough technology would shape Amazon’s destiny, even Wall Street’s biggest analysts were caught off guard.

Fast forward a year and Amazon’s new CEO Andy Jassy described generative AI as a “once-in-a-lifetime” technology that is already being used across Amazon to reinvent customer experiences.

At the 8th Future Investment Initiative conference, Elon Musk predicted that by 2040 there would be at least 10 billion humanoid robots, with each priced between $20,000 and $25,000.

Do the math. According to Musk, this technology could be worth $250 trillion by 2040.

Put another way, that’s roughly equal to:

  • 175 Teslas
  • 107 Amazons
  • 140 Metas
  • 84 Googles
  • 65 Microsofts
  • And 55 Nvidias

And here’s the wild part — this $250 trillion wave isn’t tied to one company, but to an entire ecosystem of AI innovators set to reshape the global economy.

It’s a leap so massive, it could reshape how businesses, governments, and consumers operate worldwide.

Even if that $250 trillion figure sounds ambitious, major firms like PwC and McKinsey still see AI unlocking multi-trillion-dollar potential.

How could anything be worth that much?

The answer lies in a breakthrough so powerful it’s redefining how humanity works, learns, and creates.

And this breakthrough has already set off a frenzy among hedge funds and Wall Street’s top investors.

What most investors don’t realize is that one under-owned company holds the key to this $250 trillion revolution.

In fact, Verge argues this company’s supercheap AI technology should concern rivals.

Before I reveal the details, let’s talk about how some of the richest people on the planet are positioning themselves.

  • Bill Gates sees artificial intelligence as the “biggest technological advance in my lifetime,” more transformative than the internet or personal computer, capable of improving healthcare, education, and addressing climate change.
  • Larry Ellison — through Oracle, is spending billions on Nvidia chips and partnering with Cohere to embed generative AI across Oracle’s cloud and apps.
  • Warren Buffett — not known for tech hype — says this breakthrough could have a ‘hugely beneficial social impact.

When billionaires from Silicon Valley to Wall Street line up behind the same idea — you know it’s worth paying attention to.

Even as we admire what Tesla, Nvidia, Alphabet, and Microsoft have built, we believe an even greater opportunity lies elsewhere…

But the real story isn’t Nvidia — it’s a much smaller company quietly improving the critical technology that makes this entire revolution possible.

And judging by what I’m hearing from both Silicon Valley insiders and Wall Street veterans…

This prediction might not be bold at all:

A few years from now, you’ll wish you’d owned this stock.

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Dr. Inan Dogan

Dr. Ian Dogan

Co-Founder and Research Director at Insider Monkey

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