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Truist Starts Coverage of Ambac Financial Group (AMBC) Stock with a Buy

Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE:AMBC) is one of the Best Beaten Down Stocks to Buy Now. Truist analyst Mark Hughes initiated coverage of the company’s stock with a “Buy” rating and a price objective of $10, as reported by The Fly. As per the firm, Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE:AMBC) is a rapidly emerging player in the attractive managing general agent brokerage market. The firm’s analyst noted that the company now has the resources to grow its insurance distribution operation, while the sales of its legacy business remain on track for H2 2025.

An executive signing a contract to symbolize the financial guarantees the company provides.

Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE:AMBC)’s P&C business saw a strong start to the year, with premium production rising 70% to $318 million and revenue increasing 27% to $63 million in Q1 2025, both on a YoY basis, aided by its acquisition of Beat. Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE:AMBC)’s increasingly diversified portfolio focuses on long-term growth and withstanding market cyclicality.

Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE:AMBC) has announced the extension from July 3, 2025, to December 31, 2025, of the term of the stock purchase agreement related to the sale of its legacy financial guarantee businesses. Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE:AMBC)’s top management believes that this transaction is the capstone to its transformation into a pure-play specialty P&C insurance platform. Third Avenue Management, an investment management company based in New York City, released its Q4 2024 investor letter. Here is what the fund said:

“The Fund initiated two new positions during the quarter, OceanFirst Financial (“OCFC”) and Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE:AMBC).

Ambac Financial Group (“Ambac”) was formerly a business that provided financial guarantees and other insurance policies prior to the Global Financial Crisis. This summer, it announced a transformational deal with Oaktree Capital Management to sell its legacy business for $420 million in cash, and a removal of all material debt encumbrances from the balance sheet.

It is anticipated that the transaction will close in the first quarter of 2025, at which point the business will have been transformed, with the majority of its NAV, in our view, represented by its significant net cash position and a tax-loss carryforward of $1.3 billion that it will seek to monetize. Fund Management’s attraction to Ambac also stems from the attractive, asset-light nature of its other insurance-related operating businesses. While much work remains to be done, we see the potential to build a growing, high-margin operating platform of managing general agents who focus on specialized Excess & Surplus insurance lines. The existing Ambac operating units generate recurring revenue and earnings, based on a percentage of the insurance premium they underwrite on behalf of insurance carriers, an activity which generally does not assume balance sheet risk. We also see optionality for shareholders to benefit from resource conversion activity as the scope of the business grows, offering operating leverage improvements and NAV growth, but also through redeployment of significant net cash and monetization of very large tax assets. Conversion of net cash and tax assets into higher and better uses likely entails further acquisitions of managing general agents and underwriters. Ambac should be able to achieve a significantly higher valuation if it is able to execute on its strategic objectives. These include building its reputation as an asset-light, high-margin insurance operation, rather than as a legacy financial guarantee business, while growing its scale and margins, and converting balance sheet assets into high-quality operating assets.”

Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE:AMBC) operates as a financial services holding company.

While we acknowledge the potential of AMBC to grow, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and have limited downside risk. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than AMBC and that has 100x upside potential, check out our report about this cheapest AI stock.

READ NEXT: 13 Cheap AI Stocks to Buy According to Analysts and 11 Unstoppable Growth Stocks to Invest in Now

Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.

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