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Toast, Inc. (TOST): Among Billionaire Mason Morfit’s Stock Picks with Highest Upside Potential

We recently published a list of Billionaire Mason Morfit’s 10 Stock Picks with Highest Upside Potential. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Toast, Inc. (NYSE:TOST) stands against Billionaire Mason Morfit’s other stock picks with highest upside potential.

Mason Morfit, the billionaire CEO of ValueAct Capital, runs one of Wall Street’s most respected activist hedge funds. Unlike funds that make headlines through hostile takeovers, ValueAct works quietly behind the scenes to unlock value with a significant record of successful investments. As a “soft activist,” the fund partners with company management to create reforms that help the business and its investors.

ValueAct was founded by Jeff Ubben in 2000, with Morfit taking over in 2020 as CEO. It has stuck to the fund’s disciplined style, promising “win-wins for our companies and our investors”. As of March 2021, with over $13 billion in assets under management, the company focuses on a small number of high-conviction investments, often holding positions for years to maximize returns.

ValueAct works by finding companies that markets don’t fully understand, undervalue, or that are changing in important ways. The company’s resolution stands out and goes well with today’s unpredictable market trends. With trade problems, higher tariffs, and regulatory pressure hurting investor confidence, especially in tech and entertainment, Morfit’s steady, fundamentals-based strategy sets it apart.

These strengths become even more relevant given the broader economic turbulence in recent years. Recent economic developments have stirred up changes all over the global markets. Donald Trump’s sweeping tariffs triggered sell-offs across media and tech stocks, forcing companies to delay IPOs, postpone products, and rethink their supply chains. Bloomberg reported that entertainment companies’ stocks fell regardless of their actual trade exposure, as recession fears increased. In such an unsteady and unpredictable environment, spotting real opportunities has become harder but more crucial.

Considering these conditions, Morfit’s picks stand out because they blend resilience, innovation, and structural advantages that position these companies to succeed when markets stabilize. The combination of AI, digital transformation, and platform business models creates opportunities across industries, despite economic headwinds. By focusing on efficiency, margins, and long-term growth trends, ValueAct can invest with patience – a real advantage in today’s reactionary market.

Methodology

For this article, we analyzed Greenlight Capital’s Q4 2024 13F filings to identify Billionaire Mason Morfit’s 10 Stock Picks with the Highest Upside Potential. We then ranked the stocks in ascending order based on their estimated upside. These stocks are popular with elite hedge funds, which have been considered as well.

Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 373.4% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 218 percentage points (see more details here).

An aerial shot of a computer server station, highlighting the company’s focus on cloud-based technology.

Toast, Inc. (NYSE:TOST)

Potential Upside: 13.35%

Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 63

Toast, Inc. (NYSE:TOST) stands as one of the high-potential companies in Mason Morfit’s investment portfolio. It focuses on restaurant technology and has become a game-changer in hospitality software. Morfit’s company has invested $311.6 million in Toast, about 7.09% of its total portfolio, showing its trust in Toast’s future.

Toast, Inc. (NYSE:TOST) just introduced ToastIQ, a smart system that uses real-time data, AI, and trends from over 130,000 restaurants to improve operations. ToastIQ enhances efficiency across restaurant roles with features like Menu Upsells, Shift at a Glance, and Digital Chits. This toolset boosts order values, improves team communication, and creates better guest experiences, all without changing the menu. A popular Atlanta restaurant saw a 6% increase in average order value during early testing, with servers confidently suggesting high-margin upgrades.

The company had an amazing year in 2024, adding 28,000 new locations, growing gross profit by 34%, and making a GAAP profit for the first time. Toast is expanding its U.S. market share and entering enterprise, international, and food retail markets. Its partnerships with Hilton Hotels and Ascent Brands were a major turning point. Moreover, investments in AI and data tools are helping customers earn more ARPU and operate more efficiently. With just 15% of the U.S. market, Toast, Inc. (NYSE:TOST) has plenty of room to grow in the future.

With its restaurant-specific innovation and strong fit for the market, Toast remains a smart bet in Mason Morfit’s stock portfolio and a promising disruptor in restaurant technology.

Overall, TOST ranks 6th on our list of Billionaire Mason Morfit’s stock picks with highest upside potential. While we acknowledge the potential of TOST, our conviction lies in the belief that certain AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter time frame. There is an AI stock that went up since the beginning of 2025, while popular AI stocks lost around 25%. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than TOST but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about this cheapest AI stock.

READ NEXT: 20 Best AI Stocks To Buy Now and 30 Best Stocks to Buy Now According to Billionaires.

Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.

The $250 Trillion AI Hype is Real. A few years from now, you’ll probably wish you’d bought this stock.

Dr. Inan Dogan

Dr. Ian Dogan

Co-Founder and Research Director at Insider Monkey

When Jeff Bezos said that one breakthrough technology would shape Amazon’s destiny, even Wall Street’s biggest analysts were caught off guard.

Fast forward a year and Amazon’s new CEO Andy Jassy described generative AI as a “once-in-a-lifetime” technology that is already being used across Amazon to reinvent customer experiences.

At the 8th Future Investment Initiative conference, Elon Musk predicted that by 2040 there would be at least 10 billion humanoid robots, with each priced between $20,000 and $25,000.

Do the math. According to Musk, this technology could be worth $250 trillion by 2040.

Put another way, that’s roughly equal to:

  • 175 Teslas
  • 107 Amazons
  • 140 Metas
  • 84 Googles
  • 65 Microsofts
  • And 55 Nvidias

And here’s the wild part — this $250 trillion wave isn’t tied to one company, but to an entire ecosystem of AI innovators set to reshape the global economy.

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Even if that $250 trillion figure sounds ambitious, major firms like PwC and McKinsey still see AI unlocking multi-trillion-dollar potential.

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Before I reveal the details, let’s talk about how some of the richest people on the planet are positioning themselves.

  • Bill Gates sees artificial intelligence as the “biggest technological advance in my lifetime,” more transformative than the internet or personal computer, capable of improving healthcare, education, and addressing climate change.
  • Larry Ellison — through Oracle, is spending billions on Nvidia chips and partnering with Cohere to embed generative AI across Oracle’s cloud and apps.
  • Warren Buffett — not known for tech hype — says this breakthrough could have a ‘hugely beneficial social impact.

When billionaires from Silicon Valley to Wall Street line up behind the same idea — you know it’s worth paying attention to.

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Dr. Inan Dogan

Dr. Ian Dogan

Co-Founder and Research Director at Insider Monkey

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