We recently compiled a list of the 10 Best Momentum Stocks to Buy According to Hedge Funds. In this article, we are going to take a look at where The Progressive Corporation (NYSE:PGR) stands against the other momentum stocks.
In the fast-paced world of investing, momentum is a force that can propel portfolios to new heights—or leave them vulnerable to abrupt reversals. Momentum investing, a strategy centered on capitalizing on upward-trending stocks, has gained renewed attention as markets navigate economic uncertainty, technological disruption, and shifting consumer behaviors. For investors seeking to harness this strategy, the choices of hedge funds—often regarded as the “smart money” on Wall Street—offer a compelling roadmap. These institutions deploy vast resources, cutting-edge analytics, and seasoned expertise to identify stocks with the potential to sustain momentum.
The Allure of Momentum Investing:
Momentum investing is based on the idea that stocks with strong recent performance are likely to keep rising. This momentum is driven by factors such as positive earnings surprises, favorable sector trends, or shifts in the economy. Unlike value investing, which focuses on undervalued stocks, momentum investing capitalizes on market psychology, riding waves of optimism and institutional buying.
Why Hedge Funds Matter:
Hedge funds manage billions in assets and employ teams of analysts, quantitative models, and proprietary data to stay ahead of trends. Their stock picks often reflect deep conviction in a company’s fundamentals, competitive edge, or alignment with transformative themes like artificial intelligence (AI), renewable energy, or healthcare innovation. When multiple hedge funds converge on a stock, it signals collective confidence in its momentum potential. Moreover, their filings—such as quarterly 13F disclosures—provide a window into their strategies, offering retail investors actionable insights. While past performance is no guarantee, tracking these moves may help identify high-conviction opportunities poised for sustained growth.
Growth of Momentum Stocks:
Momentum stocks have experienced significant growth recently, driven by advancements in artificial intelligence, healthcare, and digital transformation. In 2024, momentum investing emerged as one of the top-performing strategies, with high-momentum stocks outperforming low-momentum ones by 28% year-over-year as of December 11, 2024, as reported by Morgan Stanley.
Hedge funds have been instrumental in this trend, significantly increasing their investments in momentum-driven sectors. For instance, hedge funds boosted their exposure to financial firms by 50%, totaling $340 billion, contributing to a 33% surge in the NASDAQ Bank Index, which outpaced both the broader market and the tech-heavy Nasdaq.
The power of momentum investing is particularly evident in sectors like technology, with companies leading the charge in artificial intelligence and cloud computing. For instance, during the first three quarters of 2024, AI-related startups raised $6 billion, accounting for 14.6% of total climate tech investment, according to a report by PwC. With this in mind, let’s take a look at some of the best momentum stocks.
Our Methodology
For this list, we analyzed the holdings of the iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF (MTUM), which targets U.S. stocks exhibiting strong momentum based on factors like price and earnings growth. We then cross-referenced these holdings with Insider Monkey’s Q3 2024 hedge fund database to identify which companies in the ETF had the highest number of hedge fund investors. By ranking these companies based on the number of hedge funds holding positions, we compiled a list of momentum stocks that show strong performance trends and are favored by most hedge funds.
Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points. (see more details here).
A team of accountants in a boardroom, discussing strategic moves of an insurance company.
The Progressive Corporation (NYSE:PGR)
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 95
Progressive Corp. (NYSE:PGR) is one of the largest providers of auto insurance in the United States, offering a wide range of insurance products, including car, home, renters, and motorcycle insurance. The company is known for its innovative approach to pricing, using data-driven models to assess risk and offer competitive rates.
Progressive Corp. (NYSE:PGR) is addressing a significant data breach settlement, agreeing to a $3.25 million payout for customers affected by a breach that occurred between 2021 and 2023. This settlement, expected to provide impacted individuals up to $5,000, is scheduled for final approval later in February 2025.
For Q4 2024, Progressive Corp. (NYSE:PGR) saw good growth with net income rising 5% to $942 million and a 19% increase in quarterly net income, fueled by a 20% jump in net premiums written, reaching $18.1 billion. Additionally, the company saw continued expansion in policies, with a notable 18% year-over-year increase in policies in force, signaling strong customer growth across both personal and commercial insurance segments.
Overall PGR ranks 5th on our list of the best momentum stocks to buy according to hedge funds. While we acknowledge the potential for PGR as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than PGR but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.