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OppFi Inc. (NYSE:OPFI) Q1 2023 Earnings Call Transcript

OppFi Inc. (NYSE:OPFI) Q1 2023 Earnings Call Transcript May 11, 2023

OppFi Inc. beats earnings expectations. Reported EPS is $0.05, expectations were $0.00662.

Operator: Good afternoon and welcome to OppFi’s First Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call. All participants are in a listen-only mode. As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded. After management’s presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] And it is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Shaun Smolarz, Head of Investor Relations. Thank you, sir. You may begin.

Shaun Smolarz: Thank you, operator. Good afternoon. On today’s call are Todd Schwartz, Chief Executive Officer and Executive Chairman, and Pam Johnson, Chief Financial Officer. Our first quarter 2022 earnings press release and supplemental presentation can be found at investors.oppfi.com. During this call, OppFi will discuss certain forward-looking information. These forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and assessments made by OppFi’s management in light of their experience and assessment of historical trends, current conditions, expected future developments, and other factors they believe to be appropriate. Any forward-looking statements made during this call are made as of today and OppFi undertakes no duty to update or revise any such statement, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise.

Important factors that could cause actual results, developments, and business decisions to differ materially from forward-looking statements are described in the company’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including the sections entitled Risk Factors. In today’s remarks by management, the company will discuss certain non-GAAP financial metrics. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures to the most comparable GAAP measures can be found in the earnings press release issued earlier this afternoon. This call is being webcast live and will be available for replay on our website. I would now like to turn the call over to Todd.

Todd Schwartz: Thanks Shaun and good afternoon everyone. I am very pleased to report continued strength in our business. In the first quarter of 2023, we achieved adjusted net income that exceeded our guidance with solid year-over-year growth. I believe this result clearly indicates our ability to rebound and deliver profitable growth. Pam will review our first quarter results in detail as well as discuss our full year guidance update. Before she does, I will cover two topics. One, the key highlights from our Q1 2023 financial performance; and two, an update on strategic business initiatives for 2023. First quarter results were driven by improvement in credit performance. As a result of credit model adjustments made in the middle of 2022, total expense leverage and better-than-expected recoveries in payments.

This enabled us to exceed our first quarter guidance for adjusted net income and achieved year-over-year growth. The key highlights for the first quarter this year compared to last year are 9% growth in ending receivables to $370.2 million, 20% growth in total revenue to $120.4 million, net income of $3.9 million and adjusted net income of $4.4 million. We realize further gains in cost efficiency in both marketing and operations with a 9% decrease in marketing cost per new funded loan and the 8 percentage point decrease in total expenses as a percentage of revenue. Now I’d like to provide updates on our previously discussed core strategic initiatives for 2023. Credit performance continues to strengthen. As we anticipated, after credit adjustments were made last year, we experienced sequential improvements in vintage level first payment defaults beginning in Q3 and then improvements in portfolio level total delinquency rates starting in Q4.

Now I’m pleased to report net charge-off rates both as a percentage of revenue and average receivables improved in Q1 sequentially. We expect net charge-off rates to end 2023 significantly lower than last year. In the first quarter, the first payment default rate decreased 20% year-over-year and 9% sequentially. This was down 30% from the peak last year. The total delinquency rate decreased 20% from the fourth quarter of 2022 and 3% year-over-year. The net charge-off rate as a percentage of total revenue decreased 18% and or 11 percentage points falling to 48.9% from 59.8% in Q4 last year. We attribute part of the success to our values-based collection strategy during the first quarter, recoveries doubled to $6.4 million year-over-year. This also represented a 40% increase sequentially.

Portfolio quality remains our priority. We made the strategic decision to focus on profitable growth by tightly managing credit. As a result, we are emphasizing credit performance over origination growth to achieve consistent earnings growth. We continue to diligently monitor leading indicators closely and additional credit adjustments will be made as needed. Our marketing initiatives continue to unlock pockets of growth to drive cost-effective low-risk origination volume. We continue to focus on optimizing our diverse channel mix across SCO, direct mail and long-standing partners. One of the other areas of focus for 2023 is continuing to improve our operational efficiency. We recently streamlined our customer support operations to maximize efficiency while improving customer experience.

This is evidenced by our Net Promoter Score of 80 that we achieved in Q1. In summary, I’m very pleased with our Q1 performance that exceeded our earnings guidance and delivered year-over-year growth. Given our Q1 performance and greater confidence in the remainder of the year, we raised our guidance for full year adjusted net income and earnings per share. With that, I’ll turn the call over to Pam.

Pam Johnson: Thanks, Todd, and good afternoon, everyone. Q1 was a strong quarter as our credit performance clearly continued to improve. Total revenue increased 19.5% to $120.4 million. Net originations decreased 1.9% year-over-year to $160 million. This reflects the credit adjustments made in the third quarter last year. New customer originations for the quarter decreased by 17.9% year-over-year, while existing customer originations increased by 15.9%. Our annualized net charge-off rate as a percentage of average receivables was 61.8% for the first quarter compared to 55.8% for the prior year quarter and a decrease from 71% in the fourth quarter of 2022. As a percentage of revenue, the annualized net charge-off rate for the first quarter was 48.9% compared to 47.2% in the comparable period last year and an improvement from 59.8% in the fourth quarter of 2022.

We expect the net charge-off rates to continue to improve throughout the year. Turning to expenses. Total expenses for the first quarter totaled $53.5 million or 44.4% of total revenue compared to $52.9 million or 52.5% of total revenue for the first quarter of 2022. The year-over-year increase was primarily result of higher interest expense, partially offset by lower direct marketing spend driven by decreased cost per funded loan. Interest expense for the first quarter totaled $11.4 million or 9.5% of total revenue, compared to $7.4 million or 7.4% of total revenue for the same period a year ago. The increase was due to higher interest rates on our credit facilities utilized to fund originations growth over the past year. Adjusted EBITDA totaled $20.1 million for the first quarter, a 78% increase from $11.3 million for the comparable period last year, driven by both lower net charge-offs and operating expenses.

Adjusted net income was $4.4 million for the first quarter, a significant increase from the approximate $650,000 for the comparable period last year. Adjusted earnings per share, was compared to $0.01 for the first quarter last year. This exceeded our guidance of approximately breakeven. For the three months ended March 31, 2023, OppFi had 84.4 million weighted average diluted shares outstanding. Our balance sheet remains strong with cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash of $71.4 million, total debt of $331.6 million, gross receivables of $417.5 million and equity of $164.1 million as of quarter end. We believe we have ample liquidity available to support our current growth plans with $546.4 million in total capacity to fund receivables at the end of the first quarter.

Turning now to our outlook. For full year 2023, we affirmed guidance for total revenue of $500 million to $520 million, which implies growth of 10% to 15% year-over-year. In addition, we increased our expectations for adjusted net income to between $24 million and $30 million from the $22 million to $28 million prior range. As a result, we are also increasing our guidance for adjusted diluted earnings per share to between $0.28 and $0.35 from the $0.26 to $0.33 previous range. While we’re not providing formal guidance for the second quarter, I would like to share our current view based on our pacing quarter-to-date. We continue to manage the business for profitable growth. With this strategy, we expect total revenue for the second quarter to increase mid to high-single-digits year-over-year, and we anticipate revenue growth to accelerate in the second half of the year to achieve our full year guidance.

With that, I would now like to turn the call over to the operator for Q&A. Operator?

Operator: Thank you. We will now be conducting a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Our first questions come from the line of David Scharf with JMP Securities. Please proceed with your questions.

Q&A Session

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Operator: Our next questions come from the line of Mike Grondahl with Northland Securities. Please proceed with your question.

Operator: Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our next questions come from the line of William Buster with Solamere Capital Group [ph].

Operator: Thank you. There are no further questions at this time. I’d like to hand the call back over to Todd Schwartz for any closing comments.

Todd Schwartz: Well, I want to thank everyone for joining us today. We look forward to speaking with you again in August when we report our Q2 results. Have a great day.

Operator: Thank you. This does conclude today’s teleconference. We appreciate your participation. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Enjoy the rest of your day.

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The $250 Trillion AI Hype is Real. A few years from now, you’ll probably wish you’d bought this stock.

When Jeff Bezos said that one breakthrough technology would shape Amazon’s destiny, even Wall Street’s biggest analysts were caught off guard.

Fast forward a year and Amazon’s new CEO Andy Jassy described generative AI as a “once-in-a-lifetime” technology that is already being used across Amazon to reinvent customer experiences.

At the 8th Future Investment Initiative conference, Elon Musk predicted that by 2040 there would be at least 10 billion humanoid robots, with each priced between $20,000 and $25,000.

Do the math. According to Musk, this technology could be worth $250 trillion by 2040.

Put another way, that’s roughly equal to:

  • 175 Teslas
  • 107 Amazons
  • 140 Metas
  • 84 Googles
  • 65 Microsofts
  • And 55 Nvidias

And here’s the wild part — this $250 trillion wave isn’t tied to one company, but to an entire ecosystem of AI innovators set to reshape the global economy.

It’s a leap so massive, it could reshape how businesses, governments, and consumers operate worldwide.

Even if that $250 trillion figure sounds ambitious, major firms like PwC and McKinsey still see AI unlocking multi-trillion-dollar potential.

How could anything be worth that much?

The answer lies in a breakthrough so powerful it’s redefining how humanity works, learns, and creates.

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What most investors don’t realize is that one under-owned company holds the key to this $250 trillion revolution.

In fact, Verge argues this company’s supercheap AI technology should concern rivals.

Before I reveal the details, let’s talk about how some of the richest people on the planet are positioning themselves.

  • Bill Gates sees artificial intelligence as the “biggest technological advance in my lifetime,” more transformative than the internet or personal computer, capable of improving healthcare, education, and addressing climate change.
  • Larry Ellison — through Oracle, is spending billions on Nvidia chips and partnering with Cohere to embed generative AI across Oracle’s cloud and apps.
  • Warren Buffett — not known for tech hype — says this breakthrough could have a ‘hugely beneficial social impact.

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AI, Tariffs, Nuclear Power: One Undervalued Stock Connects ALL the Dots (Before It Explodes!)

Artificial intelligence is the greatest investment opportunity of our lifetime. The time to invest in groundbreaking AI is now, and this stock is a steal!

AI is eating the world—and the machines behind it are ravenous.

Each ChatGPT query, each model update, each robotic breakthrough consumes massive amounts of energy. In fact, AI is already pushing global power grids to the brink.

Wall Street is pouring hundreds of billions into artificial intelligence—training smarter chatbots, automating industries, and building the digital future. But there’s one urgent question few are asking:

Where will all of that energy come from?

AI is the most electricity-hungry technology ever invented. Each data center powering large language models like ChatGPT consumes as much energy as a small city. And it’s about to get worse.

Even Sam Altman, the founder of OpenAI, issued a stark warning:

“The future of AI depends on an energy breakthrough.”

Elon Musk was even more blunt:

“AI will run out of electricity by next year.”

As the world chases faster, smarter machines, a hidden crisis is emerging behind the scenes. Power grids are strained. Electricity prices are rising. Utilities are scrambling to expand capacity.

And that’s where the real opportunity lies…

One little-known company—almost entirely overlooked by most AI investors—could be the ultimate backdoor play. It’s not a chipmaker. It’s not a cloud platform. But it might be the most important AI stock in the US owns critical energy infrastructure assets positioned to feed the coming AI energy spike.

As demand from AI data centers explodes, this company is gearing up to profit from the most valuable commodity in the digital age: electricity.

The “Toll Booth” Operator of the AI Energy Boom

  • It owns critical nuclear energy infrastructure assets, positioning it at the heart of America’s next-generation power strategy.
  • It’s one of the only global companies capable of executing large-scale, complex EPC (engineering, procurement, and construction) projects across oil, gas, renewable fuels, and industrial infrastructure.
  • It plays a pivotal role in U.S. LNG exportation—a sector about to explode under President Trump’s renewed “America First” energy doctrine.

Trump has made it clear: Europe and U.S. allies must buy American LNG.

And our company sits in the toll booth—collecting fees on every drop exported.

But that’s not all…

As Trump’s proposed tariffs push American manufacturers to bring their operations back home, this company will be first in line to rebuild, retrofit, and reengineer those facilities.

AI. Energy. Tariffs. Onshoring. This One Company Ties It All Together.

While the world is distracted by flashy AI tickers, a few smart investors are quietly scooping up shares of the one company powering it all from behind the scenes.

AI needs energy. Energy needs infrastructure.

And infrastructure needs a builder with experience, scale, and execution.

This company has its finger in every pie—and Wall Street is just starting to notice.

Wall Street is noticing this company also because it is quietly riding all of these tailwinds—without the sky-high valuation.

While most energy and utility firms are buried under mountains of debt and coughing up hefty interest payments just to appease bondholders…

This company is completely debt-free.

In fact, it’s sitting on a war chest of cash—equal to nearly one-third of its entire market cap.

It also owns a huge equity stake in another red-hot AI play, giving investors indirect exposure to multiple AI growth engines without paying a premium.

And here’s what the smart money has started whispering…

The Hedge Fund Secret That’s Starting to Leak Out

This stock is so off-the-radar, so absurdly undervalued, that some of the most secretive hedge fund managers in the world have begun pitching it at closed-door investment summits.

They’re sharing it quietly, away from the cameras, to rooms full of ultra-wealthy clients.

Why? Because excluding cash and investments, this company is trading at less than 7 times earnings.

And that’s for a business tied to:

  • The AI infrastructure supercycle
  • The onshoring boom driven by Trump-era tariffs
  • A surge in U.S. LNG exports
  • And a unique footprint in nuclear energy—the future of clean, reliable power

You simply won’t find another AI and energy stock this cheap… with this much upside.

This isn’t a hype stock. It’s not riding on hope.

It’s delivering real cash flows, owns critical infrastructure, and holds stakes in other major growth stories.

This is your chance to get in before the rockets take off!

Disruption is the New Name of the Game: Let’s face it, complacency breeds stagnation.

AI is the ultimate disruptor, and it’s shaking the foundations of traditional industries.

The companies that embrace AI will thrive, while the dinosaurs clinging to outdated methods will be left in the dust.

As an investor, you want to be on the side of the winners, and AI is the winning ticket.

The Talent Pool is Overflowing: The world’s brightest minds are flocking to AI.

From computer scientists to mathematicians, the next generation of innovators is pouring its energy into this field.

This influx of talent guarantees a constant stream of groundbreaking ideas and rapid advancements.

By investing in AI, you’re essentially backing the future.

The future is powered by artificial intelligence, and the time to invest is NOW.

Don’t be a spectator in this technological revolution.

Dive into the AI gold rush and watch your portfolio soar alongside the brightest minds of our generation.

This isn’t just about making money – it’s about being part of the future.

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