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Morgan Stanley Expects Soft Industry Backdrop to Persist for Vail Resorts (MTN)

Vail Resorts, Inc. (NYSE:MTN) is included among the 14 Best Mid-Cap Dividend Stocks to Buy Now.

On January 16, Morgan Stanley trimmed its price target on Vail Resorts, Inc. (NYSE:MTN) to $150 from $151, while keeping an Equal Weight rating on the stock. In its 2026 outlook for gaming, lodging, and leisure names, the firm said industry fundamentals were “muted” in 2025, with the few stronger spots mostly coming from businesses catering to older and wealthier customers. Looking ahead, Morgan Stanley expects “more of the same fundamentally” in 2026, though it noted that interest-rate trends could push consumer spending more toward goods rather than services.

Meanwhile, Bloomberg reported on January 15 that Vail Resorts cut its earnings outlook for 2026 after the western U.S. experienced one of the weakest early snowfall periods in more than 30 years. The company said it now expects full-year earnings to come in below the low end of the guidance it issued in September, even if conditions in the Rocky Mountains improve and return to normal by President’s Day weekend in mid-February. CEO Rob Katz said the lack of snow “limited our ability to open terrain and negatively impacted visitation and ancillary spending for both local and destination guests during the period.”

Back in September, Vail had forecast fiscal 2026 EBITDA of $842 million to $898 million. But early-season trends have been soft. Through January 4, skier visits across Vail’s North American resorts, including properties in Colorado, Utah, and British Columbia, were down 20% compared to the same period last year. Lift revenue also dipped 1.8%, according to the company.

To reduce how much results swing with the weather, ski operators, including Vail, have increasingly leaned into a subscription-style model, encouraging customers to buy multi-region passes valid across different resorts.

Vail Resorts, Inc. (NYSE:MTN) runs a large network of destination and local ski resorts. The company also owns and manages premium hotels under its RockResorts brand, along with vacation rentals, condos, and branded lodging properties located near its major mountain destinations.

While we acknowledge the potential of MTN as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and have limited downside risk. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than MTN and that has a 100x upside potential, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.

READ NEXT: 13 Best Dividend Kings to Buy in 2026 and 14 Best Mid Cap Dividend Aristocrat Stocks to Buy Now

Disclosure: None.

The $250 Trillion AI Hype is Real. A few years from now, you’ll probably wish you’d bought this stock.

Dr. Inan Dogan

Dr. Ian Dogan

Co-Founder and Research Director at Insider Monkey

When Jeff Bezos said that one breakthrough technology would shape Amazon’s destiny, even Wall Street’s biggest analysts were caught off guard.

Fast forward a year and Amazon’s new CEO Andy Jassy described generative AI as a “once-in-a-lifetime” technology that is already being used across Amazon to reinvent customer experiences.

At the 8th Future Investment Initiative conference, Elon Musk predicted that by 2040 there would be at least 10 billion humanoid robots, with each priced between $20,000 and $25,000.

Do the math. According to Musk, this technology could be worth $250 trillion by 2040.

Put another way, that’s roughly equal to:

  • 175 Teslas
  • 107 Amazons
  • 140 Metas
  • 84 Googles
  • 65 Microsofts
  • And 55 Nvidias

And here’s the wild part — this $250 trillion wave isn’t tied to one company, but to an entire ecosystem of AI innovators set to reshape the global economy.

It’s a leap so massive, it could reshape how businesses, governments, and consumers operate worldwide.

Even if that $250 trillion figure sounds ambitious, major firms like PwC and McKinsey still see AI unlocking multi-trillion-dollar potential.

How could anything be worth that much?

The answer lies in a breakthrough so powerful it’s redefining how humanity works, learns, and creates.

And this breakthrough has already set off a frenzy among hedge funds and Wall Street’s top investors.

What most investors don’t realize is that one under-owned company holds the key to this $250 trillion revolution.

In fact, Verge argues this company’s supercheap AI technology should concern rivals.

Before I reveal the details, let’s talk about how some of the richest people on the planet are positioning themselves.

  • Bill Gates sees artificial intelligence as the “biggest technological advance in my lifetime,” more transformative than the internet or personal computer, capable of improving healthcare, education, and addressing climate change.
  • Larry Ellison — through Oracle, is spending billions on Nvidia chips and partnering with Cohere to embed generative AI across Oracle’s cloud and apps.
  • Warren Buffett — not known for tech hype — says this breakthrough could have a ‘hugely beneficial social impact.

When billionaires from Silicon Valley to Wall Street line up behind the same idea — you know it’s worth paying attention to.

Even as we admire what Tesla, Nvidia, Alphabet, and Microsoft have built, we believe an even greater opportunity lies elsewhere…

But the real story isn’t Nvidia — it’s a much smaller company quietly improving the critical technology that makes this entire revolution possible.

And judging by what I’m hearing from both Silicon Valley insiders and Wall Street veterans…

This prediction might not be bold at all:

A few years from now, you’ll wish you’d owned this stock.

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Dr. Inan Dogan

Dr. Ian Dogan

Co-Founder and Research Director at Insider Monkey

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