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Microsoft Corporation (MSFT): Billionaire’s Quant Hedge Fund’s #3 Stock Pick

We recently published a list of Top 10 Stocks to Buy According to Two Sigma Investments. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) stands against other top stocks to buy according to Two Sigma Investments.

Two Sigma Investments, LP, a New York City-based hedge fund, is known for its advanced use of artificial intelligence, machine learning, and distributed computing in financial trading. Founded by John Overdeck and David Siegel, the firm operates with a strong emphasis on technology-driven investment strategies. As a leader in quantitative finance, Two Sigma employs a rigorous, scientific approach to generating alpha in global markets, leveraging vast datasets and high-performance computing to identify patterns and market inefficiencies. With a workforce of approximately 1,700 employees, two-thirds of whom are dedicated to research and development, the firm remains at the forefront of data-driven investment management.

At the core of Two Sigma’s approach is its commitment to systematic research, blending creative insights with cutting-edge data analysis. Drawing from fields such as artificial intelligence, economics, and distributed computing, its analysts develop models that not only make financial and economic sense but also evolve with market conditions. The firm integrates systematic risk management tools and human oversight, ensuring disciplined execution and adaptability in dynamic financial environments. By harnessing insights from thousands of diverse data sources, Two Sigma continues to refine its strategies, pushing the boundaries of quantitative investing. The firm’s investment in high-performance computing enables it to process and analyze massive datasets with speed and precision. This data-driven methodology allows for the identification of complex market relationships that traditional investment strategies might overlook. With a steadfast focus on innovation, Two Sigma remains a leader in quantitative finance, continuously advancing the frontiers of data science and algorithmic trading.

The co-founder of Two Sigma Investments, John Albert Overdeck is a prominent American hedge fund manager and a lifelong mathematics enthusiast. He pursued higher education at Stanford University, where he earned both a bachelor’s degree in mathematics (with distinction) and a master’s degree in statistics. His expertise in quantitative analysis and data-driven decision-making laid the foundation for his future success in finance and technology.

Before co-founding Two Sigma Investments in 2001, Overdeck held key leadership roles at major financial and technology firms. He began his career at D.E. Shaw & Co., where he rose to the position of managing director, overseeing Japanese equity investments and the firm’s London investment management operations. He later joined Amazon.com as vice president and technical assistant to founder Jeff Bezos, leading the company’s customer relationship management initiatives and scaling its personalization and targeted marketing technologies. His work at Amazon played a crucial role in enhancing the company’s data-driven customer engagement strategies.

Beyond his professional achievements, Overdeck is a dedicated philanthropist and advocate for mathematics and education. He serves as chair of the Institute for Advanced Study, the National Museum of Mathematics, and the Bedtime Math Foundation. Additionally, he is a board member of Robin Hood and president of the Overdeck Family Foundation, which funds innovative programs aimed at improving education. Recognized for his contributions to technology and investment management, Overdeck was honored by the Academy of Achievement in 2017 for his pioneering work in the field.

David Mark Siegel is a distinguished computer scientist, entrepreneur, and philanthropist. As the co-founder and co-chairman of Two Sigma, he has played a pivotal role in integrating advanced technology and data science into investment management. Siegel pursued higher education at Princeton University, earning a degree in electrical engineering and computer science, followed by a PhD in computer science from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. During his time at MIT, he conducted groundbreaking research at the Artificial Intelligence Laboratory, further cementing his expertise in computational systems.

Beyond his professional achievements, Siegel is deeply committed to philanthropy, particularly in education, science, and technology. In 2011, he founded the Siegel Family Endowment to support initiatives that explore the societal impact of technology. He serves as Chairman of the Board of Overseers at Cornell Tech and holds board positions at Carnegie Hall and the Robin Hood Learning & Tech Fund. Additionally, he co-founded the Scratch Foundation, which promotes creative problem-solving through coding education for children. His involvement extends to advisory roles at Khan Academy, Stanford’s Center on Philanthropy and Civil Society, and Princeton’s Center on Information Technology Policy. As a member of the MIT Corporation, he contributes to initiatives such as MIT Quest for Intelligence, which aims to advance human understanding of artificial intelligence and its applications. Through his work, Siegel continues to shape the future of technology and education, ensuring lasting impact in both fields.

In its latest 13F filing for the fourth quarter of 2024, Two Sigma Investments disclosed approximately $43.22 billion in managed 13F securities, with its top ten holdings comprising 19.86% of its extensively diversified portfolio.

Our Methodology

The stocks discussed below were picked from Two Sigma Investments’ Q4 2024 13F filings. They are compiled in the ascending order of the hedge fund’s stake in them as of December 31, 2024. To assist readers with more context, we have included the hedge fund sentiment regarding each stock using data from 1,009 hedge funds tracked by Insider Monkey in the fourth quarter of 2024.

Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 373.4% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 218 percentage points (see more details here).

A development team working together to create the next version of Windows.

Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT)

Number of Hedge Fund Holders as of Q4: 317

Two Sigma Investments’ Equity Stake: $1.22 Billion 

Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) continues to solidify its dominance in cloud computing and artificial intelligence, reporting strong Q4 financial results with a 12.27% year-over-year revenue increase to $69.63 billion and earnings per share (EPS) of $3.23, surpassing market expectations. Despite its financial success, the company is facing heightened regulatory scrutiny, particularly concerning its investment in OpenAI and cloud licensing policies. U.S. regulators are examining whether these practices foster innovation or stifle competition, a probe that could influence Microsoft’s long-term growth strategy and legal landscape.

Beyond the regulatory challenges that it faces, Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) is making significant strides in technological innovation. The company recently announced a ZAR 5.4 billion investment to expand cloud and AI infrastructure in South Africa, reinforcing its commitment to digital transformation in emerging markets. This builds on its previous ZAR 20.4 billion investment in the country’s data centers, aiming to enhance cloud accessibility for businesses, government entities, and startups.

Additionally, Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) is addressing the global digital skills gap by committing to train one million South Africans by 2026, with 50,000 receiving Microsoft-paid certifications in AI, cybersecurity, and data science. In 2024 alone, the company’s Skills for Jobs initiative trained over 150,000 individuals and helped 1,800 secure employment, strengthening South Africa’s AI-driven workforce. The company’s long-standing support for education and technology accessibility, including over $100 million in software donations, underscores its broader mission of fostering sustainable economic growth.

Despite regulatory scrutiny, Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) remains a formidable force in the tech industry, driven by its leadership in cloud computing, AI, and quantum research. The company’s historical ability to navigate challenges and adapt to market shifts suggests that any short-term volatility could lead to long-term opportunities. As it continues to invest in AI infrastructure, digital skills development, and cutting-edge computing, Microsoft is well-positioned for sustained growth, making it a top stock to buy for investors seeking both innovation and stability.

Overall, MSFT ranks 3rd on our list of top stocks to buy according to Two Sigma Investments. While we acknowledge the potential for MSFT as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than MSFT but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.

READ NEXT: 20 Best AI Stocks To Buy Now and 30 Best Stocks to Buy Now According to Billionaires

Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.

The $250 Trillion AI Hype is Real. A few years from now, you’ll probably wish you’d bought this stock.

When Jeff Bezos said that one breakthrough technology would shape Amazon’s destiny, even Wall Street’s biggest analysts were caught off guard.

Fast forward a year and Amazon’s new CEO Andy Jassy described generative AI as a “once-in-a-lifetime” technology that is already being used across Amazon to reinvent customer experiences.

At the 8th Future Investment Initiative conference, Elon Musk predicted that by 2040 there would be at least 10 billion humanoid robots, with each priced between $20,000 and $25,000.

Do the math. According to Musk, this technology could be worth $250 trillion by 2040.

Put another way, that’s roughly equal to:

  • 175 Teslas
  • 107 Amazons
  • 140 Metas
  • 84 Googles
  • 65 Microsofts
  • And 55 Nvidias

And here’s the wild part — this $250 trillion wave isn’t tied to one company, but to an entire ecosystem of AI innovators set to reshape the global economy.

It’s a leap so massive, it could reshape how businesses, governments, and consumers operate worldwide.

Even if that $250 trillion figure sounds ambitious, major firms like PwC and McKinsey still see AI unlocking multi-trillion-dollar potential.

How could anything be worth that much?

The answer lies in a breakthrough so powerful it’s redefining how humanity works, learns, and creates.

And this breakthrough has already set off a frenzy among hedge funds and Wall Street’s top investors.

What most investors don’t realize is that one under-owned company holds the key to this $250 trillion revolution.

In fact, Verge argues this company’s supercheap AI technology should concern rivals.

Before I reveal the details, let’s talk about how some of the richest people on the planet are positioning themselves.

  • Bill Gates sees artificial intelligence as the “biggest technological advance in my lifetime,” more transformative than the internet or personal computer, capable of improving healthcare, education, and addressing climate change.
  • Larry Ellison — through Oracle, is spending billions on Nvidia chips and partnering with Cohere to embed generative AI across Oracle’s cloud and apps.
  • Warren Buffett — not known for tech hype — says this breakthrough could have a ‘hugely beneficial social impact.

When billionaires from Silicon Valley to Wall Street line up behind the same idea — you know it’s worth paying attention to.

Even as we admire what Tesla, Nvidia, Alphabet, and Microsoft have built, we believe an even greater opportunity lies elsewhere…

But the real story isn’t Nvidia — it’s a much smaller company quietly improving the critical technology that makes this entire revolution possible.

And judging by what I’m hearing from both Silicon Valley insiders and Wall Street veterans…

This prediction might not be bold at all:

A few years from now, you’ll wish you’d owned this stock.

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