We recently published a list of 10 Stocks to Watch as Trade Wars Begin. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Chevron Corp (NYSE:CVX) stands against other stocks to watch as trade wars begin.
Bill Strazzullo, Bell Curve Trading chief market strategist, said in a latest program on CNBC that the market isn’t done going down and urged investors not to buy every dip and wait for real opportunities. The analyst made some specific predictions about the market bottom:
“Still think it’s not over. I think you know probably across the board it’s another 15% to go to the downside. Look, the top wasn’t that difficult to call. It really wasn’t. And I think the bottom, typically on these major trends when they roll over, they do the same thing. They mean revert to fair value, which is a fancy way of saying that the market should drop down to where most of the trade activity has taken place on the major trend, which is the rally off the March 2020 lows.”
Strazzullo thinks the S&P 500 could fall to 4,500 to 4,100 before seeing a bottom. He repeatedly said during the interview that the market’s gains from the pandemic days are “tapped out.”
“The key driver here was the rally off the March 2020 lows in the height of the pandemic when we knew we were going to get historic monetary and fiscal stimulus. If you knew that, that was the right trend, you could have known months in advance when the market was going to top out. I gave the targets months in advance. If you missed this fundamentally or technically, you were asleep at the switch.”
READ ALSO: 7 Best Stocks to Buy For Long-Term and 8 Cheap Jim Cramer Stocks to Invest In.
For this article, we picked 10 stocks Wall Street is closely watching amid the US-China trade war. With each stock, we have mentioned the number of hedge fund investors. Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 373.4% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 218 percentage points (see more details here).
An aerial view of an oil rig at sea, the sun glinting off its structure.
Chevron Corp (NYSE:CVX)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors: 63
Josh Brown, CEO at Ritholtz Wealth Management, explained in a program on CNBC earlier in April why he’s buying Chevron Corp (NYSE:CVX) despite a decline in oil prices:
“Chevron—the lower it goes, the higher the dividend goes. And I don’t believe we’re going to see the level of demand destruction for gasoline that the current price in crude would reflect. I think it’s an overreaction. We’ve seen the price of oil go to negative numbers, so we know you can get overreactions in commodities. So I—I thought that was a layup. The stock’s been hammered over the last couple of days.”
TCW Relative Value Large Cap Fund stated the following regarding Chevron Corporation (NYSE:CVX) in its Q3 2024 investor letter:
“Chevron Corporation (NYSE:CVX), headquartered in San Ramon, CA, is an integrated energy company. At elimination, the stock had a $273 billion market capitalization and met all five valuation factors, including a robust 4.4% dividend yield. Chevron’s planned acquisition of Hess† would yield a strong restructuring catalyst through elimination of duplicate corporate costs and a new markets catalyst through Hess’ 30% interest in the Stabroek oilfield off Guyana; these blocks have a very low cost of supply and decades of reserves that would support strong free cash flow. While Chevron recently received Hart[1]Scott-Rodino (HSR) clearance to acquire the company, the closure timing has extended from Q4 2024 to possibly to Q2 2025 as Chevron is engaged in arbitration with peers ExxonMobil (XOM; 2.47%**) and Chinese state-owned CNOON over rights of first refusal (ROFR) for Hess’ interest in Stabroek. As Chevron’s expected arbitration resolution timeline has slipped, we believe that ExxonMobil and CNOOC’s ROFR case may have more merit than expected, thus putting the entire Hess acquisition at risk. Given an increasingly reasonable outcome that Chevron might abandon the Hess acquisition altogether, we eliminated the position in the stock.”
Overall, CVX ranks 5th on our list of stocks to watch as trade wars begin. While we acknowledge the potential of CVX as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that under the radar AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter time frame. There is an AI stock that went up since the beginning of 2025, while popular AI stocks lost around 25%. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than CVX but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about this cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
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