We recently published a list of Jim Cramer Latest Portfolio: 10 Stocks to Buy and Sell. Since NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA) ranks 1st on the list, it deserves a deeper look.
Jim Cramer in his latest program talked about how the China factor is affecting US stocks. He said that companies that have exposure to China are getting hammered and he does not see that changing “anytime soon.”
Cramer said that currently there are many “pernicious forces working against the bulls.” The CNBC host said many growth stocks are declining right when interest rates are around the corner. He said that companies that don’t benefit from rate cuts are going down. Cramer also mentioned weak earnings reports which show companies having challenged client bases. Cramer mentioned a consumer products company that was recently hammered because of weakness in China.
Cramer thinks the problem in China is twofold: there’s a government that does not like America or American businesses while the population is “cash-strapped” even if they “like our country.”
Cramer said “China is so darn complicated.” He said at one point the Chinese government was “so business friendly” that Western companies thought it’s “insane” not to go there. But since the Trump administration, the country has been engaged in trade wars with the US.
Cramer said the Chinese government “took advantage of us on trade.”
For this article we watched several latest programs of Jim Cramer and picked 10 important stocks he’s talking about. With each stock we have mentioned its hedge fund sentiment. Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors: 186
Cramer in a latest program talked about several positive developments for Nvidia stock. A Wall Street analyst has said the stock will go to $175, while media reports suggest the company is making a chip for China that won’t be “prosecuted” or “pulled off” by “this administration” according to Cramer. But Cramer questioned the possibility of a China chip from Nvidia getting approval if Trump comes to power.
“A Harris presidency is much more benign for Silicon Valley than a Trump presidency. Do you think they’ll be able to come up with a Chinese chip that Trump would approve of? You kidding me?”
Raymond James analyst Javed Mirza recently said in a report that NVDA has “triggered a mechanical sell signal” based on a moving average convergence/divergence indicator. In a technical analysis report, he stated that the stock is trading below its 50-day moving average and exhibiting early signs of selling pressure. This, according to Mirza, shows there is a looming corrective phase lasting 1-3 months. He added that a sustained break below the 50-day moving average could lead to a decline towards 94.94, representing a further 16.9% drop from current levels.
NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA) rapid run and soaring valuation have started to make some circles on Wall Street uneasy. New Street Research recently downgraded the stock to Neutral from Buy and set the stock’s price target at $135.
“We downgrade the stock to Neutral today, as upside will only materialize in a bull case, in which the outlook beyond 2025 increases materially, and we do not have the conviction on this scenario playing out yet.” New Street analyst Pierre Ferragu said.
NYU professor and valuation guru Aswath Damodoran has also been skeptical about NVDA over the past several months, saying repeatedly that the stock looks overvalued. In March, when he was asked about his previous predictions (that proved wrong) about NVDA valuation, the professor said that either he has “no idea what I’m talking about” or it’s the market that just does not understand.
Aswath Damodoran at the time said that while Nvidia was in the “driving seat” of the AI bandwagon, its path to profits won’t be as easy as the market assumes.
Patient Capital Opportunity Equity Strategy stated the following regarding NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) in its Q2 2024 investor letter:
“NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) continued to lead both the market and the portfolio, remaining a top performer in the period gaining 36.7%. Nvidia is the market leader in designing and selling Graphics Processing Units (GPU), which has recently benefited from the insatiable demand of artificial intelligence (AI) models. The company currently captures 92% market share of data center GPUs and grew revenue, earnings and free cash flow (“FCF”) an astounding 126%, 392%, and 610%, respectively, over the last year. While we expect competition to increase, we think NVDA can continue to maintain top market share. While many are concerned with backlog times shortening, we think the rollout of the B100, which promises 2.5x better performance for only 25% more cost, later this year will create more shortages. With leading edge technology, an increasing innovation cycle and strong cash generation, the company is well positioned for the increased adoption of artificial intelligence (AI).”
Overall, NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA) ranks 1st on Insider Monkey’s list titled Jim Cramer Latest Portfolio: 10 Stocks to Buy and Sell. While we acknowledge the potential of NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA) our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than NVDA but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.