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Jim Cramer on Microsoft’s Capex Budget: “That’s Not What the Market Wants”

Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) is one of the stocks that Jim Cramer shared takes on, along with navigating market shortages. Cramer noted that the company’s CapEx budget was “too high,” as he remarked:

Now, tonight, we heard from three members of the Magnificent Seven. They were wildly different results. They’re not shortage, they’re just idiosyncratic, as we say. Microsoft reported a seemingly better-than-expected quarter, nice top and bottom line beat. But its stock sold off hard in after-hours trading. Look, I’ve been telling you to watch that Azure, their cloud infrastructure business, capital expenditures.

Wall Street’s gotten worried about all the investment in artificial intelligence. On Azure and other services, Microsoft did okay. 38% growth on constant currency basis, not enough to satisfy Wall Street. More importantly, though, Microsoft’s capital expenditure budget, too high, higher than expected, up 66% year-over-year. That’s not what the market wants.

Image by Tawanda Razika from Pixabay

Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) develops software, hardware, and cloud-based solutions. The company provides products like Windows, Azure, Office, LinkedIn, and Xbox. Cramer analyzed the recent decline in the company’s stock during the January 26 episode. The Mad Money host stated:

Next up, Microsoft had the same problem when it reported on the same night as Meta in late October. All their numbers for the reported quarter looked great, but after previously saying that their CapEx growth in fiscal 2026 would be lower than it was in fiscal 2025, they basically took that back and said the opposite was now true. Oh man, did they kill their stock. CapEx growth will be higher this year than it was last year, so the stock got crushed. The other issue with Microsoft’s last quarter, they projected a slight decline in the growth rate of their Azure cloud business… Even as management explained that that was purely due to supply constraints, not a decrease in demand.

Throw in the fact that Microsoft had some guilt by association when investors grew concerned about the prospects of its close partner OpenAI late last year, and you can see why Microsoft stock has just been pummeled, down 13% since the last report. So, from Microsoft, I want to see two things. First, no incremental increases to the spending outlook. Microsoft speaks somewhat vaguely on this subject, but I think investors just want to hear that the company’s CapEx budget isn’t growing like a weed. Second, an upside surprise for Azure growth would be a major positive. That might be a tall order, but it would be very encouraging if Microsoft can deliver a two-year Azure growth rate closer to 39% than they’ve done in the past two quarters, rather than the 36% number that’s expected.

These are big numbers… though. Club members know I expect some real upside here. I don’t know if they can blow out the 39 number. At the same time, we want to see some positive commentary about Microsoft’s Copilot AI functionality for Windows, as investors seem to be losing faith in this product, treating it like the next Clippy. And it certainly wouldn’t hurt for the company to make clear that its core Windows Enterprise software suite is not vulnerable at all to the rise of generative AI platforms that can help software engineers build their own applications… It would inspire a lot of confidence if Microsoft would tell you that they do have a moat against that.

While we acknowledge the risk and potential of MSFT as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than MSFT and that has 10,000% upside potential, check out our report about this cheapest AI stock.

READ NEXT: 30 Stocks That Should Double in 3 Years and 11 Hidden AI Stocks to Buy Right Now.

Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.

The $250 Trillion AI Hype is Real. A few years from now, you’ll probably wish you’d bought this stock.

Dr. Inan Dogan

Dr. Ian Dogan

Co-Founder and Research Director at Insider Monkey

When Jeff Bezos said that one breakthrough technology would shape Amazon’s destiny, even Wall Street’s biggest analysts were caught off guard.

Fast forward a year and Amazon’s new CEO Andy Jassy described generative AI as a “once-in-a-lifetime” technology that is already being used across Amazon to reinvent customer experiences.

At the 8th Future Investment Initiative conference, Elon Musk predicted that by 2040 there would be at least 10 billion humanoid robots, with each priced between $20,000 and $25,000.

Do the math. According to Musk, this technology could be worth $250 trillion by 2040.

Put another way, that’s roughly equal to:

  • 175 Teslas
  • 107 Amazons
  • 140 Metas
  • 84 Googles
  • 65 Microsofts
  • And 55 Nvidias

And here’s the wild part — this $250 trillion wave isn’t tied to one company, but to an entire ecosystem of AI innovators set to reshape the global economy.

It’s a leap so massive, it could reshape how businesses, governments, and consumers operate worldwide.

Even if that $250 trillion figure sounds ambitious, major firms like PwC and McKinsey still see AI unlocking multi-trillion-dollar potential.

How could anything be worth that much?

The answer lies in a breakthrough so powerful it’s redefining how humanity works, learns, and creates.

And this breakthrough has already set off a frenzy among hedge funds and Wall Street’s top investors.

What most investors don’t realize is that one under-owned company holds the key to this $250 trillion revolution.

In fact, Verge argues this company’s supercheap AI technology should concern rivals.

Before I reveal the details, let’s talk about how some of the richest people on the planet are positioning themselves.

  • Bill Gates sees artificial intelligence as the “biggest technological advance in my lifetime,” more transformative than the internet or personal computer, capable of improving healthcare, education, and addressing climate change.
  • Larry Ellison — through Oracle, is spending billions on Nvidia chips and partnering with Cohere to embed generative AI across Oracle’s cloud and apps.
  • Warren Buffett — not known for tech hype — says this breakthrough could have a ‘hugely beneficial social impact.

When billionaires from Silicon Valley to Wall Street line up behind the same idea — you know it’s worth paying attention to.

Even as we admire what Tesla, Nvidia, Alphabet, and Microsoft have built, we believe an even greater opportunity lies elsewhere…

But the real story isn’t Nvidia — it’s a much smaller company quietly improving the critical technology that makes this entire revolution possible.

And judging by what I’m hearing from both Silicon Valley insiders and Wall Street veterans…

This prediction might not be bold at all:

A few years from now, you’ll wish you’d owned this stock.

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Dr. Inan Dogan

Dr. Ian Dogan

Co-Founder and Research Director at Insider Monkey

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