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Is KBR Inc. (KBR) The Best Stock to Benefit from the Green Ammonia Boom?

We recently published a list of 7 Best Small Company Stocks To Invest In. In this article, we are going to take a look at where KBR Inc. (NYSE:KBR) stands against the other best small company stocks to invest in.

Rate Cuts Could Boost SMid-Cap Companies

The Fed’s decision to cut interest rates by 50 basis points in September significantly impacted the market. This decision, motivated by concerns about the labor market’s health, is part of a broader plan to lower interest rates over the next few years. While some analysts believe a 50-basis point cut is too aggressive, others argue it could benefit small and mid-cap stocks.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average also recently reached a new all-time high, indicating strong investor confidence. However, experts believe that small-cap stocks offer significant growth potential, and despite their recent underperformance compared to high-risk investments, small-cap stocks are expected to outperform large-cap stocks shortly.

We went over the anticipated high returns from small-cap stocks in greater detail in one of our other articles, 10 Best Performing Small-Cap Stocks in 2024, where we discussed Richard Bernstein’s opinion, who is the CEO of Richard Bernstein Advisers currently. Here’s an excerpt from that article:

“He elaborated on his bullish stance regarding mid-cap and small-cap stocks, emphasizing that these categories are expected to experience substantial earnings growth. By the end of this year or early next year, Bernstein forecasts that small caps will grow at a rate significantly higher than the MAG 7 tech stocks. He pointed out that this phenomenon is typical when profit cycles hit a trough; small caps tend to be more sensitive to upturns in profitability, and noted the Fed’s current easing policies are occurring simultaneously with an environment of accelerating profits, an unusual combination that could fuel economic growth.

When asked about the current market dynamics favoring mega-cap stocks over smaller ones, Bernstein acknowledged that many managers are indeed gravitating towards these larger companies. However, he cautioned that from a fundamental investment perspective, mega-cap stocks are generally slower-growing and more expensive compared to other market segments. He argued that historically, a combination of cheaper and faster-growing stocks has proven to be advantageous for investors.”

The misallocation of capital towards less productive areas can create inflationary pressures and hinder economic growth. The overall sentiment is that investors should be cautious and focus on small and mid-cap stocks that could benefit from a lower interest rate environment. Pausing and looking into diversification are the best options right now, instead of making impulsive decisions that could backfire in a highly volatile environment, until the economic outlook becomes clearer.

In a recent discussion, Curtis Nagel, senior US SMid cap internet analyst at BofA Securities, joined ‘The Exchange’ at CNBC on September 28, to discuss how rate cuts could impact small and mid-caps companies (or SMid cap companies), and where to find opportunity.

Curtis Nagel shared his insights on the performance and potential opportunities in small and mid-cap stocks following the Fed’s rate cut. While the Russell 2000 index has underperformed the major averages since the rate cut, he believes this could spell big opportunities for SMID-cap stocks across various sectors, including home furnishings and subscription services.

Nagel specifically pointed out Restoration Hardware, noting that it is a household name that often flies under the radar. He mentioned that it reported its results a couple of weeks ago, which came in slightly below guidance. However, the key takeaway was that demand for their products is beginning to accelerate at a notable rate. This uptick is attributed to several factors: it is launching new products, reaccelerating its gallery growth, and maintaining a strong presence in the premium segment of the real estate market. Unlike some of its competitors, it is starting to gain market share, which Nagel believes is crucial for investor sentiment toward the company.

When asked about the volatility associated with it, Nagel acknowledged that it can be a wild stock in terms of performance. However, he emphasized that the company has undergone a significant product transformation and is reinvesting in marketing through its sourcebooks. The resurgence of gallery growth is historically important for its expansion strategy. He believes that with these factors combined, market conditions and unique company attributes, it should continue to perform well.

Nagel’s overall thesis focuses on updating price targets for companies with high sensitivity to interest rates and strong prospects for revenue and earnings growth in a soft landing scenario. ACV Auctions was highlighted as an intriguing opportunity. Nagel described it as a digital marketplace for wholesale vehicles where dealerships trade cars. He noted that this market has not been fully digitized yet, placing the company at the forefront of this transition. Although the wholesale vehicle market has faced challenges, down about 25% relative to historic averages, Nagel theorized that as interest rates improve and car affordability increases, the company could see a market rebound. He views this stock as potentially overlooked but having significant upside.

Overall, he is updating his price targets and raising them on companies with the highest rate exposure and the best opportunity for revenue and earnings upside in a soft landing scenario. He sees SMID-cap stocks as an area of potential opportunity for investors.

Methodology

For this article, we have defined small-cap stocks as those trading between $1 billion and $10 billion. We used the Finviz stock screener and sorted our screen by market cap. We looked through the top 20 stocks that matched our criteria. We then selected 7 stocks that were the most popular among elite hedge funds and that analysts were bullish on. The stocks are ranked in ascending order of the number of hedge funds that have stakes in them, as of Q2 2024. The hedge fund data was sourced from Insider Monkey’s database which tracks the moves of over 900 elite money managers.

Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).

An engineer wearing protective gear overlooking a research and development laboratory.

KBR Inc. (NYSE:KBR)

Market Capitalization as of September 27: $8.51 billion

Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 56

KBR Inc. (NYSE:KBR) operates in the fields of science, technology, and engineering, working in markets like aerospace, defense, industrial, and intelligence. It offers engineering, procurement, construction, and maintenance services for projects such as oil and gas pipelines, refineries, and petrochemical plants, as well as technical solutions and support services to government agencies, including the US Department of Defense.

The company is leading the green ammonia market with 10 projects, including a first in India. While blue ammonia is more prevalent due to affordability, its technology is at the forefront of both blue and green ammonia production. There are only two blue ammonia projects in the world that have FID’d, final investment decision, both are using KBR Inc.’s (NYSE:KBR) technology.

The expertise in these areas, combined with a 5-year contract made in late September with the Iraqi government, solidifies its strong position in the energy transition. It also secured new contracts, including a significant win on the B52 program. Management anticipates a surge in award volume in Q3. It won two large multiple-award contracts, including one with a new customer.

Revenue for Q2 2024 rose 5.82% year-over-year, recording $1.86 billion in revenue. For government, revenue grew by 3%, with growth in international defense and intelligence and science and space (up 11%, 5%, and 1% respectively). However, Funding delays related to the Ukraine conflict have impacted readiness and sustainment activities, leading to a contraction in this segment.

Employee engagement soared 10% this year, reaching a record high of over 70%. It is also certified as a Great Place to Work in 13 countries, with 84% of employees recommending the company to friends. The commitment to inclusion is evident, with 85% of employees feeling valued and heard.

It’s a strong investment choice due to its diversified business model. The company’s strategic focus on high-growth markets and its ability to capitalize on the energy transition position it for continued success.

Cove Street Capital Small Cap Value Fund stated the following regarding KBR, Inc. (NYSE:KBR) in its Q2 2024 investor letter:

“On the plus side, KBR, Inc. (NYSE:KBR) has been a strong performer so far YTD on the back of an investor day in the second quarter that highlighted the success of the last four-year plan (2020-2023) before laying out ambitious but credible targets for the next 4 years (2024- 2027). Since 2020, KBR has pivoted their commercial business away from high-risk EPC projects to a more differentiated IP-first consulting approach that now sees 20% EBIT margins and contributes 40% of their overall profitability. KBR has cleaned up their balance sheet by settling convertible notes and warrants and now sits at a healthy 2x net leverage. With the upcoming ramp of a $20B government services contract with the U.S. army, the company is well positioned to generate cash and return value to shareholders.”

Overall KBR ranks 7th on our list of best small company stocks to invest in. While we acknowledge the potential of KBR as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold great promise for delivering high returns and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than KBR but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.

READ NEXT: $30 Trillion Opportunity: 15 Best Humanoid Robot Stocks to Buy According to Morgan Stanley and Jim Cramer Says NVIDIA ‘Has Become A Wasteland’.

Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.

The $250 Trillion AI Hype is Real. A few years from now, you’ll probably wish you’d bought this stock.

When Jeff Bezos said that one breakthrough technology would shape Amazon’s destiny, even Wall Street’s biggest analysts were caught off guard.

Fast forward a year and Amazon’s new CEO Andy Jassy described generative AI as a “once-in-a-lifetime” technology that is already being used across Amazon to reinvent customer experiences.

At the 8th Future Investment Initiative conference, Elon Musk predicted that by 2040 there would be at least 10 billion humanoid robots, with each priced between $20,000 and $25,000.

Do the math. According to Musk, this technology could be worth $250 trillion by 2040.

Put another way, that’s roughly equal to:

  • 175 Teslas
  • 107 Amazons
  • 140 Metas
  • 84 Googles
  • 65 Microsofts
  • And 55 Nvidias

And here’s the wild part — this $250 trillion wave isn’t tied to one company, but to an entire ecosystem of AI innovators set to reshape the global economy.

It’s a leap so massive, it could reshape how businesses, governments, and consumers operate worldwide.

Even if that $250 trillion figure sounds ambitious, major firms like PwC and McKinsey still see AI unlocking multi-trillion-dollar potential.

How could anything be worth that much?

The answer lies in a breakthrough so powerful it’s redefining how humanity works, learns, and creates.

And this breakthrough has already set off a frenzy among hedge funds and Wall Street’s top investors.

What most investors don’t realize is that one under-owned company holds the key to this $250 trillion revolution.

In fact, Verge argues this company’s supercheap AI technology should concern rivals.

Before I reveal the details, let’s talk about how some of the richest people on the planet are positioning themselves.

  • Bill Gates sees artificial intelligence as the “biggest technological advance in my lifetime,” more transformative than the internet or personal computer, capable of improving healthcare, education, and addressing climate change.
  • Larry Ellison — through Oracle, is spending billions on Nvidia chips and partnering with Cohere to embed generative AI across Oracle’s cloud and apps.
  • Warren Buffett — not known for tech hype — says this breakthrough could have a ‘hugely beneficial social impact.

When billionaires from Silicon Valley to Wall Street line up behind the same idea — you know it’s worth paying attention to.

Even as we admire what Tesla, Nvidia, Alphabet, and Microsoft have built, we believe an even greater opportunity lies elsewhere…

But the real story isn’t Nvidia — it’s a much smaller company quietly improving the critical technology that makes this entire revolution possible.

And judging by what I’m hearing from both Silicon Valley insiders and Wall Street veterans…

This prediction might not be bold at all:

A few years from now, you’ll wish you’d owned this stock.

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