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Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE): Among Billionaire Mason Morfit’s Stock Picks with Highest Upside Potential

We recently published a list of Billionaire Mason Morfit’s 10 Stock Picks with Highest Upside Potential. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Expedia Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:EXPE) stands against Billionaire Mason Morfit’s other stock picks with highest upside potential.

Mason Morfit, the billionaire CEO of ValueAct Capital, runs one of Wall Street’s most respected activist hedge funds. Unlike funds that make headlines through hostile takeovers, ValueAct works quietly behind the scenes to unlock value with a significant record of successful investments. As a “soft activist,” the fund partners with company management to create reforms that help the business and its investors.

ValueAct was founded by Jeff Ubben in 2000, with Morfit taking over in 2020 as CEO. It has stuck to the fund’s disciplined style, promising “win-wins for our companies and our investors”. As of March 2021, with over $13 billion in assets under management, the company focuses on a small number of high-conviction investments, often holding positions for years to maximize returns.

ValueAct works by finding companies that markets don’t fully understand, undervalue, or that are changing in important ways. The company’s resolution stands out and goes well with today’s unpredictable market trends. With trade problems, higher tariffs, and regulatory pressure hurting investor confidence, especially in tech and entertainment, Morfit’s steady, fundamentals-based strategy sets it apart.

These strengths become even more relevant given the broader economic turbulence in recent years. Recent economic developments have stirred up changes all over the global markets. Donald Trump’s sweeping tariffs triggered sell-offs across media and tech stocks, forcing companies to delay IPOs, postpone products, and rethink their supply chains. Bloomberg reported that entertainment companies’ stocks fell regardless of their actual trade exposure, as recession fears increased. In such an unsteady and unpredictable environment, spotting real opportunities has become harder but more crucial.

Considering these conditions, Morfit’s picks stand out because they blend resilience, innovation, and structural advantages that position these companies to succeed when markets stabilize. The combination of AI, digital transformation, and platform business models creates opportunities across industries, despite economic headwinds. By focusing on efficiency, margins, and long-term growth trends, ValueAct can invest with patience – a real advantage in today’s reactionary market.

Methodology

For this article, we analyzed Greenlight Capital’s Q4 2024 13F filings to identify Billionaire Mason Morfit’s 10 Stock Picks with the Highest Upside Potential. We then ranked the stocks in ascending order based on their estimated upside. These stocks are popular with elite hedge funds, which have been considered as well.

Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 373.4% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 218 percentage points (see more details here).

People interacting with a travel website, searching for the perfect destination.

Expedia Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:EXPE)

Potential Upside: 11.38%

Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 72

Expedia Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:EXPE) runs global travel sites like Expedia, Vrbo, and Hotels.com. It provides a wide range of services, from hotel bookings to flight packages. With a strong B2B network and AI focus, it is a key holding for Mason Morfit.

Furthermore, at 8.56% of Morfit’s portfolio, with stakes worth $375.9 million, Expedia Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:EXPE) stands out as a major stock. The company closed 2024 strong with Q4 bookings hitting $24.4 billion, up 13% year-over-year. Meanwhile, revenue grew 10% to $3.2 billion, with B2B jumping 21% to make up over a quarter of all bookings. Brand Expedia saw mid-teen growth in room nights, while Vrbo and Hotels.com returned to growth.

The company’s efficiency efforts are paying off, with Q4 EBITDA growing 21% to $643 million, and 2024 free cash flow reached $2.3 billion, up 26%. Expedia Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:EXPE) bought back 12.1 million shares in 2024 and started paying dividends again in March 2025 at $0.40 per share.

On April 24, 2025, Expedia pushed into the Middle East, launching a major expansion of its Travel Agent Affiliate Program (TAAP) in the UAE. Through this expansion, it is partnering with Emirates, Adeera, and tourism boards from Jordan, Abu Dhabi, and Oman. These moves not only boost the company’s B2B reach but also open it up to grow in travel markets.

With solid finances, expanding global reach, and smart tech investments, Expedia Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:EXPE) looks ready for long-term growth as a high-conviction pick in Mason Morfit’s stock portfolio.

Overall, EXPE ranks 8th on our list of Billionaire Mason Morfit’s stock picks with highest upside potential. While we acknowledge the potential of EXPE, our conviction lies in the belief that certain AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter time frame. There is an AI stock that went up since the beginning of 2025, while popular AI stocks lost around 25%. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than EXPE but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about this cheapest AI stock.

READ NEXT: 20 Best AI Stocks To Buy Now and 30 Best Stocks to Buy Now According to Billionaires.

Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.

The $250 Trillion AI Hype is Real. A few years from now, you’ll probably wish you’d bought this stock.

Dr. Inan Dogan

Dr. Ian Dogan

Co-Founder and Research Director at Insider Monkey

When Jeff Bezos said that one breakthrough technology would shape Amazon’s destiny, even Wall Street’s biggest analysts were caught off guard.

Fast forward a year and Amazon’s new CEO Andy Jassy described generative AI as a “once-in-a-lifetime” technology that is already being used across Amazon to reinvent customer experiences.

At the 8th Future Investment Initiative conference, Elon Musk predicted that by 2040 there would be at least 10 billion humanoid robots, with each priced between $20,000 and $25,000.

Do the math. According to Musk, this technology could be worth $250 trillion by 2040.

Put another way, that’s roughly equal to:

  • 175 Teslas
  • 107 Amazons
  • 140 Metas
  • 84 Googles
  • 65 Microsofts
  • And 55 Nvidias

And here’s the wild part — this $250 trillion wave isn’t tied to one company, but to an entire ecosystem of AI innovators set to reshape the global economy.

It’s a leap so massive, it could reshape how businesses, governments, and consumers operate worldwide.

Even if that $250 trillion figure sounds ambitious, major firms like PwC and McKinsey still see AI unlocking multi-trillion-dollar potential.

How could anything be worth that much?

The answer lies in a breakthrough so powerful it’s redefining how humanity works, learns, and creates.

And this breakthrough has already set off a frenzy among hedge funds and Wall Street’s top investors.

What most investors don’t realize is that one under-owned company holds the key to this $250 trillion revolution.

In fact, Verge argues this company’s supercheap AI technology should concern rivals.

Before I reveal the details, let’s talk about how some of the richest people on the planet are positioning themselves.

  • Bill Gates sees artificial intelligence as the “biggest technological advance in my lifetime,” more transformative than the internet or personal computer, capable of improving healthcare, education, and addressing climate change.
  • Larry Ellison — through Oracle, is spending billions on Nvidia chips and partnering with Cohere to embed generative AI across Oracle’s cloud and apps.
  • Warren Buffett — not known for tech hype — says this breakthrough could have a ‘hugely beneficial social impact.

When billionaires from Silicon Valley to Wall Street line up behind the same idea — you know it’s worth paying attention to.

Even as we admire what Tesla, Nvidia, Alphabet, and Microsoft have built, we believe an even greater opportunity lies elsewhere…

But the real story isn’t Nvidia — it’s a much smaller company quietly improving the critical technology that makes this entire revolution possible.

And judging by what I’m hearing from both Silicon Valley insiders and Wall Street veterans…

This prediction might not be bold at all:

A few years from now, you’ll wish you’d owned this stock.

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Wall Street calls this $3 stock a “Melting Ice Cube.” They said the same thing about BTI before it returned 90%.

Dr. Inan Dogan

Dr. Ian Dogan

Co-Founder and Research Director at Insider Monkey

My name is Inan Dogan. I’m the co-founder and Research Director of Insider Monkey. I have an important message for you today.

Since March 2017, my stock picks have returned 16.5% annually. Today, I’ve found an opportunity even bigger than my British American Tobacco call.

Two years ago, Wall Street wrote off British American Tobacco (BTI) as a “melting ice cube.” The stock had crashed 40% from its peak, and consensus said the business was dying.

We looked under the cover and realized they were wrong.

We alerted our subscribers, and BTI returned 90% in just 16 months.

Now if you had invested just $10,000 in BTI in June 2024, you’d be sitting on $19,000 in October 2025.

Today, we have identified a nearly identical pattern in a digital-first giant trading at $3.

While the market panics over a surface-level revenue decline, our PhD-led research shows management has actually surgically cut $100 million in waste to focus on high-margin growth.

This pattern is a hallmark of our 16.5% annual return track record. The current opportunity offers a 400% upside potential—dwarfing even our 90% BTI return.

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