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Energy Vault (NRGV): Scaling Strategy Drives Growth

Energy Vault Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:NRGV) is one of the best alternative energy stocks to invest in according to analysts. On February 11, Energy Vault Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:NRGV) shared preliminary estimates for the December-ending quarter and fiscal year, Q4 FY2025. The company expects quarterly revenue to range between $150 million and $155 million, which is well above Wall Street’s expected $140.9 million. The figure is also a 355% jump year over year, and a roughly 5x sequential increase from Q3 2025’s $33.3 million.

The massive revenue surge was due to a rapid scaling of the company’s energy storage projects, particularly its “Asset Vault” strategy. Another growth factor was the expanding battery energy storage project in Australia, which had been gaining momentum through Q3 2025. The company’s contract revenue backlog had already ballooned to $920-$954 million heading into Q4.

Energy Vault expects quarterly gross profit between $28-$33 million, and gross margins of 18-22%, up from just 8% in Q4 2024. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to come in positive at $5-$10 million in Q4, which is a massive turnaround from a loss of $13.4 million in Q4 2024. Despite this, the company expects the net loss for the quarter to range between $9.5 million and $22.1 million, though this is a substantial reduction from the $61.8 million net loss in Q4 2024.

That same day, on February 11, Energy Vault priced a $140 million convertible senior notes offering. The offering is upsized from its originally planned $125 million, and the deal officially settled on February 17.

The company sold convertible notes in a private placement exclusively to qualified institutional buyers under Rule 144A. Energy Vault also gave initial purchasers an option to buy an additional $20 million worth of notes within 13 days of issuance. If exercised in full, it would bring total net proceeds to approximately $154.8 million. The company plans to use a portion of the proceeds, between $35 million and $45 million, to redeem existing convertible debt owed to YA II PN Ltd.

Energy Vault Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:NRGV) is an energy storage company headquartered in Westlake Village, California, with additional operations in Lugano, Switzerland. It develops and deploys grid-scale storage solutions, including gravity-based systems that store energy by lifting and lowering composite blocks, as well as battery and hybrid storage platforms.

While we acknowledge the potential of Energy Vault Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:NRGV) as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and have limited downside risk. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than NRGV and that has 100x upside potential, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.

READ NEXT: 13 Best Infrastructure Stocks to Buy Right Now and 10 Best S&P 500 Stocks With Highest Upside Potential.

Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.

The $250 Trillion AI Hype is Real. A few years from now, you’ll probably wish you’d bought this stock.

Dr. Inan Dogan

Dr. Ian Dogan

Co-Founder and Research Director at Insider Monkey

When Jeff Bezos said that one breakthrough technology would shape Amazon’s destiny, even Wall Street’s biggest analysts were caught off guard.

Fast forward a year and Amazon’s new CEO Andy Jassy described generative AI as a “once-in-a-lifetime” technology that is already being used across Amazon to reinvent customer experiences.

At the 8th Future Investment Initiative conference, Elon Musk predicted that by 2040 there would be at least 10 billion humanoid robots, with each priced between $20,000 and $25,000.

Do the math. According to Musk, this technology could be worth $250 trillion by 2040.

Put another way, that’s roughly equal to:

  • 175 Teslas
  • 107 Amazons
  • 140 Metas
  • 84 Googles
  • 65 Microsofts
  • And 55 Nvidias

And here’s the wild part — this $250 trillion wave isn’t tied to one company, but to an entire ecosystem of AI innovators set to reshape the global economy.

It’s a leap so massive, it could reshape how businesses, governments, and consumers operate worldwide.

Even if that $250 trillion figure sounds ambitious, major firms like PwC and McKinsey still see AI unlocking multi-trillion-dollar potential.

How could anything be worth that much?

The answer lies in a breakthrough so powerful it’s redefining how humanity works, learns, and creates.

And this breakthrough has already set off a frenzy among hedge funds and Wall Street’s top investors.

What most investors don’t realize is that one under-owned company holds the key to this $250 trillion revolution.

In fact, Verge argues this company’s supercheap AI technology should concern rivals.

Before I reveal the details, let’s talk about how some of the richest people on the planet are positioning themselves.

  • Bill Gates sees artificial intelligence as the “biggest technological advance in my lifetime,” more transformative than the internet or personal computer, capable of improving healthcare, education, and addressing climate change.
  • Larry Ellison — through Oracle, is spending billions on Nvidia chips and partnering with Cohere to embed generative AI across Oracle’s cloud and apps.
  • Warren Buffett — not known for tech hype — says this breakthrough could have a ‘hugely beneficial social impact.

When billionaires from Silicon Valley to Wall Street line up behind the same idea — you know it’s worth paying attention to.

Even as we admire what Tesla, Nvidia, Alphabet, and Microsoft have built, we believe an even greater opportunity lies elsewhere…

But the real story isn’t Nvidia — it’s a much smaller company quietly improving the critical technology that makes this entire revolution possible.

And judging by what I’m hearing from both Silicon Valley insiders and Wall Street veterans…

This prediction might not be bold at all:

A few years from now, you’ll wish you’d owned this stock.

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Dr. Inan Dogan

Dr. Ian Dogan

Co-Founder and Research Director at Insider Monkey

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Now if you had invested just $10,000 in BTI in June 2024, you’d be sitting on $19,000 in October 2025.

Today, we have identified a nearly identical pattern in a digital-first giant trading at $3.

While the market panics over a surface-level revenue decline, our PhD-led research shows management has actually surgically cut $100 million in waste to focus on high-margin growth.

This pattern is a hallmark of our 16.5% annual return track record. The current opportunity offers a 400% upside potential—dwarfing even our 90% BTI return.

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