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Can Mosaic (MOS) Overcome Potash Oversupply Risks?

Mosaic Company (NYSE:MOS) is among the best potash stocks to invest in right now.

On March 26, UBS downgraded Mosaic Company (NYSE:MOS) to Neutral and cut its price target to $27. The firm said phosphate margins are under pressure from higher sulfur and ammonia costs, but it also warned about potash. UBS expects new supply later this decade to weigh on potash prices, keeping them below normal levels.

While phosphate markets remain tight and prices are high, UBS believes rising input costs will squeeze margins. For potash, the outlook is steadier in the short term, but long‑term oversupply could weigh on Mosaic’s earnings. In short, UBS sees limited upside for Mosaic because potash pricing may not stay strong enough to drive growth.

Earlier on March 19, BofA Securities downgraded Mosaic Company stock rating to Neutral from Buy and lowered the price target to $30 from $33. The equity research firm said the primary reason for this downgrade was delayed margin expansion. According to BofA, the Iran war is pushing up the costs of raw materials, which is creating a challenging profit environment for companies like Mosaic. Given the prevailing circumstances, BofA believes margin expansion at Mosaic Company is more likely to happen in 2027 rather than sooner.

BofA Securities highlights headwinds from the Middle East conflict, Mosaic Company is looking for new growth opportunities. On March 11, Mosaic said that its rare-earths joint venture was advancing well, and that the project was now entering the prefeasibility study after completing a preliminary economic assessment.

This project is called the Uberaba rare-earth project and is based in Brazil. Definitive feasibility study of the project is expected to begin later in the year, and construction of the production facility is expected to start in 2027.

Mosaic Company (NYSE:MOS) is an American multinational chemical company. It mines phosphate and potash, which it uses to produce fertilizer and animal feeds. It mines potash in Saskatchewan and New Mexico and phosphate in Florida. Mosaic Company is the largest producer of potash and phosphate fertilizers in the US. The company operates an international distribution network.

While we acknowledge the risk and potential of MOS as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than MOS and that has 10,000% upside potential, check out our report about this cheapest AI stock.

READ NEXT: 10 Robinhood Stocks with High Potential and 10 Popular Penny Stocks on Robinhood to Buy.

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