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BMO Capital Sees Further Upside for Union Pacific (UNP) as Freight Recovery Continues

Union Pacific Corporation (NYSE:UNP) is included among the 14 Best Low Volatility Dividend Stocks to Invest in.

On February 20, BMO Capital raised its price recommendation on Union Pacific Corporation (NYSE:UNP) to $295 from $255. The firm reiterated a Market Perform rating on the shares. The update was part of the firm’s broader review of the Transportation sector. The analyst pointed out that transportation stocks have rallied strongly since late November 2025. Even so, the move does not appear overstretched when viewed in the context of the full freight cycle, which peaked in 2022. The recent gains reflect a recovery that is still playing out, rather than a cycle that has already reached its limits. BMO added that if the freight cycle continues moving along this recovery path, transportation stocks could see further upside.

Earlier in the month, on February 4, Union Pacific announced a major agreement with Wabtec valued at $1.2 billion. The deal focuses on modernizing the railroad’s AC4400 locomotives and represents the largest locomotive modernization investment in the history of the rail industry. It builds on a previous order placed in 2022, which is expected to be completed in 2026. The modernization effort is aimed at improving how the railroad operates day to day. The upgraded locomotives are expected to improve efficiency, strengthen service reliability, and support overall network performance. This kind of investment reflects Union Pacific’s ongoing effort to run a more consistent and dependable rail system.

Wabtec’s program will also extend the useful life of the locomotives and bring greater standardization across the fleet. At the same time, the upgrades will allow Union Pacific to benefit from newer control systems and diagnostic tools. The improvements are expected to reduce fuel consumption by more than 5%, increase tractive effort by 14%, and improve reliability by 80%.

The agreement, signed in the fourth quarter of 2025, marks Union Pacific’s fourth major modernization order from Wabtec since 2018. Once the project is finished, the company will have more than 1,700 modernized locomotives in service. Production will take place at Wabtec’s facilities in the United States, with deliveries scheduled to begin in 2027.

Union Pacific Corporation (NYSE:UNP) operates one of the largest freight rail networks in the country through its main subsidiary, Union Pacific Railroad Company. Its rail system connects 23 states across the western two-thirds of the United States, playing a key role in moving goods and supporting the broader global supply chain.

While we acknowledge the potential of UNP to grow, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and have limited downside risk. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than UNP and that has 100x upside potential, check out our report about this cheapest AI stock.

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Disclosure: None.

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