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BHP Group (BHP): Strategic Investments in Smelters and Potash Projects to Drive Future Growth

We recently published a list of 7 Best ASX Stocks To Invest In Right Now. In this article, we are going to take a look at where BHP Group (NYSE:BHP) stands against other ASX stocks to invest in right now.

Overview of the Australian Economy 

According to a report by the Australian Bureau of Statistics, Australia’s economy is growing at a sluggish pace as GDP for the June quarter increased by just 0.2%, bringing the annual growth rate to 1% for the year to June however, Australia continues to narrowly avoid a recession. According to Katherine Keenan, head of national accounts at the Australian Bureau of Statistics, the annual financial year economic growth was the lowest since 1991-92 excluding the Covid-19 pandemic period.

For the year to July, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell to 3.5%, from 3.8% in June which signals that inflation may be starting to ease. This reduction was largely attributed to energy rebates introduced by state and federal governments. In response, three of Australia’s big four banks have slashed interest rates on term deposits by as much as 80 basis points, signaling expectations of a significant rate cut in 2025. However, experts warn that inflation for the year to June remains “stubbornly high.” The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has an inflation target of 2%-3%, and economists predict that rate cuts will likely not occur before 2025 due to inflationary pressures. Jim Chalmers, Treasurer of Australia acknowledged the economic stagnation and attributed the slow growth to a combination of global economic uncertainty, and the burden of higher interest rates.

Despite the economic challenges, wages in Australia continue to rise steadily, with a 4.1% increase for the year to June, slightly lower than the 4.2% growth recorded at the end of 2023. Private sector wages grew by 0.7% during the June quarter, down from 0.9% in the March quarter, while public sector wages saw a 0.9% increase, up from 0.6%.

Australian Equities Amid Inflation and Rising Rates

According to Schroders’ head of Australian equity, Martin Conlon, Investor sentiment toward investing in Australia reflects a cautious yet strategically optimistic approach, over the past decade, Australian equities, particularly in technology, growth, and green energy sectors, have enjoyed significant growth driven by speculative investment and aggressive financial leverage due to low borrowing costs. However, with the recent return of inflation and the necessity of higher interest rates, this sentiment has tempered.

However, real economy sectors such as resources, energy, and materials have gained traction due to more favorable investment opportunities. The mining sector, which represents a significant portion of Australia’s economic output, remains particularly attractive. Australia’s iron ore exports have long been a cornerstone of the economy, and global demand remains robust. Some of the largest mining companies in Australia maintain competitive advantages due to their low-cost operations, especially in iron ore production, which continues to generate strong cash flows even as global commodity demand fluctuates. Furthermore, Australia’s reserves of critical minerals like lithium and rare earths, essential for renewable energy technologies, position the country at the forefront of this transformation.

Investors are now prioritizing sectors with reasonable valuation levels and sound fundamentals, particularly those with exposure to the real economy. Resource stocks stand to benefit from global deglobalization trends as Western economies reduce their reliance on Chinese manufacturing. This shift is expected to result in higher costs for goods, further supporting the case for investing in resource-heavy sectors.

Despite the economic slowdown and inflationary pressures, the country continues to narrowly avoid recession. However, Australia’s unique position as a major commodities exporter and its exposure to the energy transition present compelling opportunities.

Our Methodology

For this article, we used the Finviz and Yahoo Finance stock screeners plus online rankings to compile an initial list of the 20 largest companies in Australia by market cap. From that list, we narrowed our choices to the 7 stocks with the most hedge fund holders, as of Q2 of 2024. The list is sorted in ascending order of the number of hedge funds.

Why do we care about what hedge funds do? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).

An aerial view of a mining operation in action, with large trucks and yellow diggers.

BHP Group (NYSE:BHP)

Number of Hedge Fund Investors in Q2 2024: 22  

BHP Group (NYSE:BHP) is a leader in mining, metals, and petroleum. Its operations span multiple sectors, including iron ore, copper, coal, and oil.

For the year ending June 30, BHP Group (NYSE:BHP) hit several production records, including record copper output at the Spence mine and robust iron ore production. Copper production rose by 9% year-over-year, with an EBITDA margin of 51%, while iron ore production reached 259.7 Mt. Additionally, BHP Group’s (NYSE:BHP) potash projects are also progressing well, with Jansen Stage 1 ahead of schedule at 52% completion, and Jansen Stage 2 in its early phase at 2% completion. For 2025, BHP expects a further 4% increase in copper production.

On August 30, BHP Group (NYSE:BHP) announced plans to expand its smelter and refinery operations at Olympic Dam in South Australia. BHP Group (NYSE:BHP) aims to boost copper production in South Australia from 322,000 tonnes last year to 500,000 tonnes of refined copper cathode by the early 2030s, with potential growth to 650,000 tonnes by the mid-2030s. Furthermore, BHP Group (NYSE:BHP) has declared an Inferred Mineral Resource at Oak Dam, estimated at 1.34 billion tonnes with a copper grade of 0.66% and a gold grade of 0.33 grams per tonne. This includes a section with 220 million tonnes at 1.96% copper and 0.68 grams per tonne of gold.

The World Bank projects copper prices to rise by 4% next year, and Forbes estimates copper demand will increase by 75% by 2050. The company’s valuation is also appealing, as the stock is currently trading at 10.33 times earnings, a 34.87% discount compared to the sector median of 15.86. Analysts have a consensus Buy rating on the stock, with an average price target of $61.38 which indicates a potential a 13% upside from current levels. As of the second quarter, BHP Group’s (NYSE:BHP) stock is held by 22 hedge funds, with a total stake valued at $1.25 billion. Fisher Asset Management is the largest shareholder in the company and owns shares worth $1.21 billion as of June 30.

Overall BHP ranks 2nd on our list of best ASX stocks to invest in right now. While we acknowledge the potential of BHP as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than BHP but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.

READ NEXT: $30 Trillion Opportunity: 15 Best Humanoid Robot Stocks to Buy According to Morgan Stanley and Jim Cramer Says NVIDIA ‘Has Become A Wasteland’.

Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.

The $250 Trillion AI Hype is Real. A few years from now, you’ll probably wish you’d bought this stock.

Dr. Inan Dogan

Dr. Ian Dogan

Co-Founder and Research Director at Insider Monkey

When Jeff Bezos said that one breakthrough technology would shape Amazon’s destiny, even Wall Street’s biggest analysts were caught off guard.

Fast forward a year and Amazon’s new CEO Andy Jassy described generative AI as a “once-in-a-lifetime” technology that is already being used across Amazon to reinvent customer experiences.

At the 8th Future Investment Initiative conference, Elon Musk predicted that by 2040 there would be at least 10 billion humanoid robots, with each priced between $20,000 and $25,000.

Do the math. According to Musk, this technology could be worth $250 trillion by 2040.

Put another way, that’s roughly equal to:

  • 175 Teslas
  • 107 Amazons
  • 140 Metas
  • 84 Googles
  • 65 Microsofts
  • And 55 Nvidias

And here’s the wild part — this $250 trillion wave isn’t tied to one company, but to an entire ecosystem of AI innovators set to reshape the global economy.

It’s a leap so massive, it could reshape how businesses, governments, and consumers operate worldwide.

Even if that $250 trillion figure sounds ambitious, major firms like PwC and McKinsey still see AI unlocking multi-trillion-dollar potential.

How could anything be worth that much?

The answer lies in a breakthrough so powerful it’s redefining how humanity works, learns, and creates.

And this breakthrough has already set off a frenzy among hedge funds and Wall Street’s top investors.

What most investors don’t realize is that one under-owned company holds the key to this $250 trillion revolution.

In fact, Verge argues this company’s supercheap AI technology should concern rivals.

Before I reveal the details, let’s talk about how some of the richest people on the planet are positioning themselves.

  • Bill Gates sees artificial intelligence as the “biggest technological advance in my lifetime,” more transformative than the internet or personal computer, capable of improving healthcare, education, and addressing climate change.
  • Larry Ellison — through Oracle, is spending billions on Nvidia chips and partnering with Cohere to embed generative AI across Oracle’s cloud and apps.
  • Warren Buffett — not known for tech hype — says this breakthrough could have a ‘hugely beneficial social impact.

When billionaires from Silicon Valley to Wall Street line up behind the same idea — you know it’s worth paying attention to.

Even as we admire what Tesla, Nvidia, Alphabet, and Microsoft have built, we believe an even greater opportunity lies elsewhere…

But the real story isn’t Nvidia — it’s a much smaller company quietly improving the critical technology that makes this entire revolution possible.

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This prediction might not be bold at all:

A few years from now, you’ll wish you’d owned this stock.

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Wall Street calls this $3 stock a “Melting Ice Cube.” They said the same thing about BTI before it returned 90%.

Dr. Inan Dogan

Dr. Ian Dogan

Co-Founder and Research Director at Insider Monkey

My name is Inan Dogan. I’m the co-founder and Research Director of Insider Monkey. I have an important message for you today.

Since March 2017, my stock picks have returned 16.5% annually. Today, I’ve found an opportunity even bigger than my British American Tobacco call.

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We looked under the cover and realized they were wrong.

We alerted our subscribers, and BTI returned 90% in just 16 months.

Now if you had invested just $10,000 in BTI in June 2024, you’d be sitting on $19,000 in October 2025.

Today, we have identified a nearly identical pattern in a digital-first giant trading at $3.

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