Michael Lee, the founder of Michael Lee Strategy, said in a recent program on Schwab Network that bearish sentiment has impacted AMD, but the stock remains positioned to benefit from AI in the long term.
“I think it’s, you know, if you have a 12-month time horizon, you’re looking at at least a double from here. I really like the stock and the nature of these AI GPU games is that the demand far exceeds supply, and the problems that Advanced Micro Devices Inc (NASDAQ:AMD) has had is just getting that supply up and running to meet that demand. It’s not quite in line with where the street is, and so they have hammered this stock and kind of lost all faith, and there’s this overwhelming bearish sentiment that’s been ongoing for a while, especially since February on everything AI.”
Lee said the company could face short-term headwinds amid tariffs and volatility, but it remains a key beneficiary of the technology growth trend.
Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD) bulls believe the market should stop comparing the company’s chips with Nvidia and focus on its data-center growth and its competitive edge over other players like Intel. Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD)’s strong growth in the data center segment is indeed impressive, driven by Instinct GPU shipments and strong sales of EPYC CPUs. Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD) will continue to benefit from organic growth catalysts in this segment despite the competition from Nvidia. According to Goldman Sachs Research, global data center demand could surge by 160% by 2030. In the U.S., data centers are projected to use 8% of total power by 2030, up from 3% in 2022. McKinsey estimates that adding the required U.S. capacity will need over $500 billion in infrastructure investment by the decade’s end.
Artisan Global Opportunities Fund stated the following regarding Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD) in its Q4 2024 investor letter:
“Among our top detractors were Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD), Novo Nordisk and Danaher. Shares of AMD declined in Q4, which capped off a frustrating year of stock performance that did not seem to match its fundamental progress. Regarding its AI opportunity, the company accomplished everything we had hoped for over the past 18 months. It successfully entered the market with its MI300 graphic processing unit (GPU) chip and raised its latest 2024 AI-related revenue guidance to $5.0 billion from $4.5 billion. However, its shares have experienced weakness for two primary reasons. First is the emergence of custom AI accelerator chip solutions from Broadcom and Marvell (a Q4 buy) as alternatives to the GPU solutions from NVIDIA and AMD. While this competitive threat is more significant than we had initially anticipated, we continue to be excited about AMD’s opportunity moving forward. We believe the AI-related market will grow to $400 billion–$500 billion in the next three years (compared to $100 billion in 2024). We expect that NVIDIA’s market share will fall from ~90%in2024to60%–80%overthesameperiodasitcedes market share to AMD (from5%in2024to10%–20%) and custom accelerator solutions (from 5% in 2024 to 10%–20%). Under these assumptions, we expect AI GPUs to double AMD’s total 2024 sales. Second is cyclical struggles within other areas of its business. While data center revenues have more than doubled over the past two years, the gaming business is down more than 60%, and embedded (specialized chips found in various industrial and consumer products) is down20%.As its data center business continues to grow and the cyclical areas of its business bounce back, we expect AMD to deliver stronger earnings growth.”
While we acknowledge the potential of AMD as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and have limited downside risk. If you are looking for an extremely cheap AI stock that is also a major beneficiary of Trump tariffs and onshoring, see our free report on the best short-term AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
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