We recently compiled a list of the 10 Best Gold Stocks to Buy According to Reddit and Robinhood. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Alamos Gold Inc. (NYSE:AGI) stands against the other gold stocks.
Regarded as a safe investment option, hedging investors against inflation, Gold has been a highly demanded precious metal historically. As such, in 2023, the precious metal’s demand soared by 3% year-over-year (YoY), hitting the 4,899 tons mark. This is on the back of growing demand from emerging markets like India and China, who were responsible for 75% of this demand. This ever-increasing trajectory of demand is expected to continue in the current year as well which is going to be discussed below.
Amidst the inflationary state in the U.S. for the past while, and the resulting uncertainty in the market, gold has seen its prices rise in 2023, reaching its all-time high, on the back of 13% increase. The increase in demand mainly came from central banks, the industrial sector, and investors. A trend was also observed in 2023, wherein the global sovereign wealth funds were reported to be increasing their holdings in the precious metal.
The price of gold is a complex mechanism, as it is impacted by several factors like demand, market stability, and interest rates, to name a few. Nevertheless, several analysts are looking to a positive future for gold, as they expect the prices to be sitting somewhere between $2,421.00 and $2,651.00 (per ounce rate) by the current year end, as compared to its current price of $2374.31, as of writing this article.
This trend is also shaping up on the back of the Fed’s plans for a rate cut later in the year, as the gold prices usually have an inverse relationship with the market interest rate. As such, the rate cut that is expected to occur somewhere in September is also helping analysts forecast the precious metal’s price increase in 2024.
Following is what was spoken about the gold market by an analyst at PrimeXBT, Kathryn Davies, in June 2024:
“Gold has fallen from its all-time high of $2,222 after the SNB cut rates, boosting the USD. However, the gold price remains supported by the prospect of Federal Reserve rate cuts and a lower interest rate environment globally. Elevated geopolitical tensions and central bank purchases also keep demand high, and the price supported. As a result, Gold could see more all-time highs as we progress through 2024, rising to $2400 by the year’s end.”
In terms of the global market, China is a crucial player in the gold market – China is not only the largest producer of gold (producing 12% of gold in 2023), but also the largest consumer of gold, with its central bank, on its own, buying 225 tons of gold in 2023, up from 62 tons in the previous year. Analysts have attributed China’s massive buying of gold to the freezing of Russian assets by the U.S. and its allies, which China is attempting to hedge itself from by buying Gold – pushing up the gold prices by doing so.
Australia and Russia closely follow China in the gold production game; in 2023, China, Russia, and Australia recorded a gold production volume of 375 tons, 325 tons, and 314 tons, respectively. The U.S. was placed 5th on the same list created by Insider Monkey, with a production volume of 173 tons! To date, 209,000 tons of gold have been mined across the globe, equaling a value of massive $12 trillion!
Having discussed the expected future of gold prices, it’s time we explore the world of gold stocks, which directly correlate with the gold price trajectory. Thus, let’s now jump to our list of 10 Best Gold Stocks to Buy According to Reddit and Robinhood.
Methodology
Extensive research across the Reddit discussion forums, along with the Robinhood Index, helped us in curating our preliminary list of all the stocks discussed across the two sources. Based on the analysts’ sentiment regarding each stock across both sources, we assigned the Reddit score and Robinhood score to the stocks and ranked them based on the average score, which we will refer to as the Overall score. Lower the score, better the ranking of stock. For stocks with an equal Overall score, we used Reddit score as the tiebreaker.
The overall score was derived from the number of upticks on Reddit forums against the respective stocks, and the number of analysts assigning buy ratings to the respective stocks on Robinhood. We also peeked into Insider Monkey’s database that tracks the activity of 920 hedge funds, wherein we collected information about the hedge fund investors’ holders of all these stocks to reaffirm the respective stocks’ sentiment across the two sources.
Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
Aerial view of a gold mine with equipment mining the earth for resources.
Alamos Gold Inc. (NYSE:AGI)
Overall Score: 8.5
Reddit Score: 8
Robinhood Score: 9
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 30
With 90% of analysts at Robinhood giving a buy rating to the stock, Alamos Gold Inc. (NYSE: AGI), a Canadian gold mining company, is on our list of Best Gold Stocks to Buy According to Reddit and Robinhood.
In April, we noticed that some analysts at Bank of America upgraded the rating of the stock from hold to buy. Alamos Gold Inc. is engaged in three operating mines in North America, including Young-Davidson mine and Island Gold mine in Canada, and Mulatos mine in Mexico. It has four other projects well under development as of now.
On top of that, in March 2024, Alamos Gold Inc. (NYSE:AGI) acquired the Magino mine in Ontario, Canada, which would boost the miner’s production to 600,000 ounces per year in the shorter run, while producing up to 900,000 ounces per year in the longer run. Furthermore, their acquisition of Magino mine also included Argonaut, both of which would result in pretax synergies of $515 million.
The company also performed quite impressively in Q1 2024, in which they bagged a record quarterly revenue of $280 million (10% increase from 1st quarter of 2023), also generating $24 million worth of free cash flow!
This was on the back of gold production which took an upturn in the quarter, increasing 6% from the first quarter of 2023 to 135,700 ounces of gold production. The production from the Mulatos mine and the resulting staggering output of 62,200 ounces of gold (up by 23.2% from Q1 2023) primarily drove this overall revenue growth in the quarter. Higher demand of gold and increased gold prices further bolstered the company’s performance in the quarter.
Having said that, with its total quarterly cash costs and all-in sustaining costs above the company’s annual guidance (expected to come down in the following three quarters) – with an upside potential of 15.3%, and with hedge fund holdings worth $426.8 million, it’s quite understandable why the stock makes it to our list of Best Gold Stocks to Buy.
Overall AGI ranks 10th on our list of the best gold stocks to buy according to Reddit and Robinhood. You can visit 10 Best Gold Stocks to Buy According to Reddit and Robinhood to see the other gold stocks that are on hedge funds’ radar. While we acknowledge the potential of AGI as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than AGI but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.