Under Armour Inc (UA): “I Will,” or Maybe I Won’t

Page 1 of 2

Under Armour Inc (NYSE:UA)I have a difficult time not buying stock in companies when I buy their products on a regular basis. One such company is Under Armour Inc (NYSE:UA). My personal experience with Under Armour clothing and shoes is that they are very high quality and very comfortable. In fact, since my wife and I tried Under Armour shoes, we have recommended them to almost everyone we know. However, recommending Under Armour Inc (NYSE:UA) stock is a little more difficult.

This Is a Great Company That Could Do so Much Better
Don’t get me wrong–I’ve owned Under Armour stock in the past, and been very pleased with the results. However, once the stock gotten past a certain valuation, I could no longer justify continuing to own the shares at such lofty prices. There are several issues facing Under Armour Inc (NYSE:UA), and in an industry with competition such as Lululemon Athletica inc. (NASDAQ:LULU) and NIKE, Inc. (NYSE:NKE), the company can’t afford to be second best at anything.

When a company reports revenue growth of 23%, and this is evenly spread across each of their divisions, you would expect good earnings growth as well. However, due to promotional spending and incentives, Under Armour saw a 50% decline in diluted EPS. For a stock selling at a forward P/E ratio of 40.51, a decline in earnings like this should be a red flag.

Consistency in Revenue and Earnings Growth
The first thing investors need to keep an eye on is Under Armour Inc (NYSE:UA)’s earnings growth rate. Currently, analysts expect the company to grow earnings by just less than 21% in the next few years. In past quarters, the company exceeded 20% earnings growth. However, looking at the 50% decline last quarter, investors need to see if the company can get back on track.

When you look at Under Armour’s peer group, Lululemon Athletica inc. (NASDAQ:LULU) is expected to grow earnings faster than Under Armour at 22.24%, versus 20.83%. NIKE, Inc. (NYSE:NKE) isn’t expected to grow as fast as these two companies at about 10% EPS growth, but Nike is also a much larger company as well.

It’s acceptable for the company to show a large decline for one quarter based on certain expenses, but if this becomes a trend, Under Armour Inc (NYSE:UA) would be in serious trouble.

A second item to watch is continued momentum in revenue growth. Analysts are generally expecting an over 22% increase in revenues this year from the company, and anything less would be a major blow to investor’s confidence. In fact, Under Armour is expected to grow revenue faster than Lululemon, from which analysts expect 21% revenue growth. In contrast, NIKE, Inc. (NYSE:NKE) is only expected to grow revenue by 4.9%.

Page 1 of 2
blog comments powered by Disqus
Insider Monkey Headlines
Insider Monkey Small Cap Strategy
Insider Monkey Small Cap Strategy

Insider Monkey beat the market by 52 percentage points in 24 months Click to see monthly returns in table format!

Lists

Qihoo 360 Technology Co Ltd (QIHU), Actavis plc (ACT), Yahoo! Inc. (YHOO) Among 20 Long Ideas from Sohn Canada

The 10 Laziest Countries in the World

The 10 Most Polluted Countries in the World

The 10 Most Dangerous Cities in America 2014

The Top 10 Gold Producing Countries in the World

The 10 Tallest Buildings in the World

The 10 Richest Stand Up Comedians in the World

The 10 Fattest Countries in the World

The 5 Best Summer Jobs for Teens

The 10 Most Religious Countries in the World Keeping the Faith

The 10 Most Educated Countries in the World

The 10 Most Popular Cell Phones in the World

The 10 Drunkest Countries in the World

The 10 Most Expensive Private Schools in the World

The 10 Smallest Countries in the World

Walking Dead Season 5 Spoilers You’ll Wish You Didn’t Know

The 10 Poorest Countries in the World

The 10 Greenest Countries in the World

The Top 10 Countries with the Highest Population in the World

The 10 Most Visited Countries in the World

The Top 10 Star Wars Characters in the Iconic Series

The 10 Most Expensive Android Phones in the World

5 Reasons Why The Illuminati Is Real and a Threat to Society

The 6 Scariest Halloween Costumes Ever Screamed At

The 4 Biggest Hedge Fund Managers in the World Today

The 15 Most Densely Populated Countries in the World

The 10 Biggest Tea Drinking Countries in the World

Top 6 Ways to Improve Your Checkout Process and Close Sales

The 5 Most Profitable Online Businesses You Can Start Today

The 20 Most Profitable Hospitals in the US

The 5 Most Profitable Home Businesses to Start

The 7 Teams that Will Win the Stanley Cup in 2015

The Top 10 Most Expensive Digital Cameras to Snap Stunning Shots With

The 10 Highest Quality Fast Food Restaurants In America Today

The 8 Best Halloween Decorating Ideas to Spook Up Your House

10 Marvel Women that Should Get a Movie Right Now

The 20 Best Remixes of Popular Songs that Will Make You Forget the Originals

7 Most Expensive Cities in the World

5 Least Expensive Cities in the World

10 Celebrities Who Believe In Scientology

10 High Margin Food Products to Build a Business Around

The 10 Most Expensive Clothing Stores in the United States to Get Decked Out At

The 5 Biggest Kickstarter Scams That Swindled Backers’ Donations

The 10 Most Expensive Boarding Schools In the World

50 Crazy Facts About Japan You Won’t Believe

Top 10 Least Expensive Hybrid Cars to Save the Planet With

The 10 Biggest ‘Gate’ Controversies in History

The 10 States with the Highest Nursing Shortages Leaving Their Hospitals Depleted

The 10 Best Value Investment Blogs that Every Investor Must Read

The 6 Cheapest Boarding Schools in Europe 2015

Subscribe

Enter your email:

Delivered by FeedBurner

X

Thanks! An email with instructions is sent to !

Your email already exists in our database. Click here to go to your subscriptions

Insider Monkey returned 47.6% in its first year! Wondering How?

Download a complete edition of our newsletter for free!