Palo Alto Networks Inc (PANW) & Fusion-IO, Inc. (FIO): These 2 Companies Could Solve A Major Problem In High-Tech

Of the 11 sectors covered by S&P Capital IQ, only one is on track for lower profits in 2013: technology.

The profit anemia stems from several factors, including:

Extremely low levels of government spending due to the current sequester.
Depressed sales activity in Europe. The tech sector has more exposure to Europe than any other sector.
A lack of any hot new products or trends to trigger interest among buyers.

Yet as we’ve noted many times, several tech firms are sitting on stunning levels of cash. Cisco Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:CSCO), Microsoft Corporation (Nasdaq:MSFT), Oracle Corporation (NASDAQ:ORCL) and others may have a hard time generating organic growth, but they have a long track record of acquisitions to help get the needle moving.

Though it’s unwise to buy a stock simply because you suspect it is a buyout candidate, you can’t ignore a company’s appeal in a merger and acquisition(M&A) scenario if it has a strong base of technology or an impressive customer list. And you surely need to pay attention if that stock has recently traded sharply lower, creating more compelling valuations for a potential buyer — or simply on a stand-alone basis.

Here are two slumping tech stocks that now hold solid value in light of their considerable growth prospects and market positioning.

Palo Alto Networks

Palo Alto Networks Inc (NYSE:PANW)

Palo Alto Networks Inc (NYSE:PANW) has arguably the most comprehensive suite of network security system capabilities, helping companies and governments operate their servers without malware, spoofing and other gremlins that can cripple a company’s networks. Palo Alto Networks Inc (NYSE:PANW)’s major clients include Splunk Inc (NASDAQ:SPLK), Citrix Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:CTXS), Aruba Networks, Inc. (NASDAQ:ARUN) and Ericsson (NASDAQ:ERIC).

Those partnerships have helped fuel triple-digit annual sales growth for five straight years, and sales are on track to rise another 50% this year to around $400 million. Still, the “laws of bigness” are starting to kick in and sales growth could slip below 40%. Slowing growth may explain why this stock has suddenly fallen out of favor.

Another explanation for falling shares: Management has decided to sharply boost headcount (from a recent 950 to roughly 1,400 a year from now) to help keep sales growth above 35% for the foreseeable future. That hiring spree is eating into near-term profits.

Right now, Palo Alto Networks Inc (NYSE:PANW) is the fourth-largest network security firm behind Cisco Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:CSCO), Juniper Networks, Inc. (NYSE:JNPR) and Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ:CHKP). However, other companies involved in network management — such as Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT), International Business Machines Corp. (NYSE:IBM) and Hewlett-Packard Company (NYSE:HPQ) – have reportedly been eyeing the security niche in recent years, thanks to its robust growth prospects. Palo Alto Networks Inc (NYSE:PANW) would quickly make them one of the leading security vendors in terms of software functionality.

Analysts at JMP Securities “believe Palo Alto leverages significant technology advantages in the next-generation firewall market,” and they see shares rebounding toward a $60 price target.

Fusion-io

Fusion-IO, Inc. (FIO)I have written about Fusion-IO, Inc. (NYSE:FIO) several times in the past (and you can always read about any stocks we cover by typing the ticker symbol into our search box), and I’ve repeatedly taken note of the company’s radical and game-changing approach to data storage management.

Trouble is, management was never able to clearly articulate the company’s approach. Analysts at Lazard noted: “To some, FIO is a component vendor, a business based on PCIe-based flash cards that willinevitably commoditize. Others correctly point out that FIO boasts a unique software portfolio, but we believe many are oblivious as to what the strategy and value proposition of FIO’s software portfolio really is. While we all have our view, we believe there may have been an identity crisis within the company itself.” Those analysts see shares rising to $23.

That confusion has led to a shake-up in management and a 55% drop in the stock from the 52-week high. Yet even with that turmoil, this is still a fast-growing business. Sales shot up from $36 million in fiscal 2010 to $359 million in fiscal 2012, and analysts see that figure exceeding $550 million in Fusion-IO, Inc. (NYSE:FIO)’s current fiscal year, which began this week.

As is the case with Palo Alto Networks Inc (NYSE:PANW), Fusion-IO, Inc. (NYSE:FIO) is investing heavily to handle the next leg of growth, which is dampening profits. That’s a real turn-off for myopic investors, but crucial if this company is to eventually meet its goal of $1 billion in annual sales. At a minimum, it’s a necessary effort to ensure that this business realizes its full potential if new management decides to put the company up for sale.

Risks to Consider: Never buy a stock solely on the basis of buyout hopes. Instead, look at possible M&A activity as a potential catalyst.

Action to Take –> It’s hardly a bold move to predict that we will see major transactions in the technology sector in the second half of this year. Deal-making is the lifeblood of this sector, and cash-rich balance sheets, along with an anemic top-line organic growth, set the stage for more deals. Whichever tech stock you are researching, analyze them in the context of the broader landscape. Do the companies you’re looking at have the right products or customer bases that would hold appeal to bigger players? Those traits have been markers for success in the past.

Warren Buffett’s Top 5 Stocks

Buffett’s firm, Berkshire Hathaway, holds dozens of stocks. But these five make up 75% of its portfolio… worth $65 billion. Click here to get Buffett’s top 5 stocks plus his 16 latest buys, FREE.

This article was originally written by David Sterman and posted on StreetAuthority.

blog comments powered by Disqus
Insider Monkey Headlines
Insider Monkey Small Cap Strategy
Insider Monkey Small Cap Strategy

Insider Monkey beat the market by 52 percentage points in 24 months Click to see monthly returns in table format!

Lists

5 Best States for Golf Adventures

Top 15 Places To Visit Before You Die

10 Most Expensive Smartphones in the World

10 States with Lowest Physician Density

10 Top Reasons For Getting Fired

The 3 Best States to Start an LLC

10 Jobs That Allow You to Travel

7 High-Paying Jobs You Can Do From Home

12 Best Cities to Shop in USA

10 Best States To Practice Medicine

The 10 Best States to Have a Business

The 12 Most Expensive Apple (AAPL) Apps in the Market

The 10 Richest Billionaires in the World

10 Biggest Kickstarter Failures

The 10 Best Places to Work At

The Top 10 of Google Inc (GOOGL)’s Most Expensive Acquisitions

13 Best Cities to Visit in South America

10 Most Expensive Works of Art of All Time

The 10 Richest Banks in the World

The 10 Best-Paying Jobs in America (2014)

7 Most Expensive Foods in the World

The World’s Top 10 Earning Authors

Five Wicked and Very Expensive Items (and Other “Stuff”) Sold on eBay

10 Biggest Celebrity Bankruptcies

The Top 10 Highest Paid CEOs in 2014

The 10 Most Expensive Real Estate Cities in America

10 Most Expensive States To Live In America

The 10 Best Airlines in the World

The 10 Best-Selling Cars in 2014

The 10 Best Industries to Invest In

The 10 Most Expensive States to Own a Car In

Top 10 Business Schools in US: 2014 Rankings

Top 20 Female Billionaires in 2014

6 Movies That You Should Watch to Better Understand The Cold War

Top 15 Best Paying Jobs for Women in 2014

Top 6 Things Rich People Do Differently Every Day

5 Retirement Mistakes To Avoid (and Einstein’s Famous Quote)

11 Smartest People in the World

6 Films About the Financial World You Need To Watch (While “The Wolf” is Not Around)

Warren Buffett and Billionaires Are Crazy About These 7 Stocks

The Top 10 States With Fastest Internet Speeds

10 Best Places to Visit in USA in August

Top 10 Cities to Visit Before You Die

Top 10 Genetically Modified Food In the US

15 Highest Grossing Movies Opening Weekend

5 Best Poker Books For Beginners

10 Strategies Hedge Funds Use to Make Huge Returns

Top 10 Fast Food Franchises to Buy

10 Best Places to Visit in Canada

Best Summer Jobs for Teachers

Subscribe

Enter your email:

Delivered by FeedBurner

X

Thanks! An email with instructions is sent to !

Your email already exists in our database. Click here to go to your subscriptions

Insider Monkey returned 47.6% in its first year! Wondering How?

Download a complete edition of our newsletter for free!