Macroeconomic Predictions

Nobel Winner: Market is Looking a Lot Like the 1930s

For those in the markets, the name Robert Shiller may not ring much of a bell. But for those who are into the macroeconomic picture and oook to some of......(read more)

When Will The Fed Taper?

Ben Bernanke
Now a buzzword, “taper” has come to symbolize the potential slowing of bond purchases that the Federal Reserve will presumably begin in the near future......(read more)

U.S. Economic Radar – August 23, 2013

Ben Bernanke
Recap of the past week’s U.S. economic releases: 1). New home sales sunk 13.4% in July to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of only 394k. That rate......(read more)

The Great Recession Is Over (On Average)

Dow Jones Industrial Average 2 Minute (INDEXDJX:^DJI)
The Great Recession began in December 2007. That’s when the official scorekeepers at the National Bureau of Economic Research said it began, anyway......(read more)

America Continues Its Dominance In Creating Wealth Inequality

Barack Obama serious
A recent study from a global group of economists shows that the United States continues to be the leader in creating income inequality. Facundo Alvaredo......(read more)

JPMorgan Research Top 10 Macro Questions for 2013

JPMorgan Chase & Co (NYSE:JPM)
At the start of every new year I like to read sell-side research from big banks, such as JPM or Credit Suisse. I have taken lots of ideas and insights......(read more)

Inside Citi’s 2013 Agriculture Outlook

Largest Financial Services Companies
As 2012 comes to a close, Wall Street begins to look ahead to the coming year and what trends will have the biggest impact on the commodity world. Financial......(read more)

Gold’s 12 Year Run May Finally Be Over

Best Financial Services Companies to Work For
It is no secret that gold is one of the most talked about assets of the last few years, as this metal’s historic run has put it in the limelight. The......(read more)

Here is Why Apple Inc. (AAPL) Could Fall Below $425

Apple Inc. (AAPL)
In early November, the dire predictions of one Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) bear were making their way around the blogosphere with frenetic haste. That bear......(read more)

Rising Won has South Korea Worried

iShares Dow Jones US Home Const. (ETF) (NYSEARCA:ITB)
South Korea’s currency, the won, has been rising against the currencies of its major trading partners, China, the United States, the European Union......(read more)

Why we can’t simplify bank regulation

iShares Dow Jones US Home Const. (ETF) (NYSEARCA:ITB)
Is simplicity the new new thing? The front page of the new issue of Global Risk Regulator — the trade mag for central bankers around the world — features......(read more)

Collapsing Greece Bank Deposits and Skyrocketing Home Invasions

Greece Total Bank Deposits Graph
Greek banks have been losing their deposits since the beginning of 2010. Total deposits stood at 245 billion euros at the end of 2009. That number fell......(read more)

George Soros’ Financial Times Article

setting up a hedge fund
George Soros penned an article for Financial Times titled “Germany’s reticence to agree threatens European stability”. You can read the......(read more)

Germany 1 – Greece 0: Greeks Asking for a Bailout

In Euro 2012 today German midfielder Lahm scored a goal just minutes ago and Germany is leading Greece 1-0. Greeks don’t want to be kicked out of......(read more)

Markets Rebuff Moody’s Downgrades, Sailing Strong in Afternoon Trade

A day after Moody’s downgrade of 15 large investment banks all over the world, markets today seem to care less about ratings and downgrades. The Dow......(read more)

Moody’s Downgrades 15 Major Banks

Bank Downgrades
What other Credit Rating Agencies have been doing one step at a time, Moody’s did that and much more in a single stroke. After markets all over the......(read more)

Initial Unemployment Claims fall, 4-week average at 6 month high.

Seasonally adjusted initial claims for unemployment stood at 387,000 in the week ended June 16, according to the data released by the Department of Labor......(read more)

JOBS Act Accidentally Relaxes Hedge Fund Rules

Barack Obama serious
President Obama recently enacted into law the Jumpstart Our Business Startups Act, or more commonly known as the JOBS Act. Its main aim is to create more......(read more)

Is Gold Overpriced Relative to Other Commodities?

best gold ETF
Gold stocks are quite popular among hedge funds these days, and with good reason. John Paulson, who is very bullish about gold, made $5 billion by betting......(read more)

Hedge Fund News: Bill Ackman, David Einhorn, John Kinnucan, Ray Dalio…

PERSHING SQUARE
Ackman Says He Will Be Patient on J.C. Penney Turnaround (Bloomberg) Pershing Square Capital Management LP’s William Ackman, the activist hedge fund......(read more)

Solar Storm Threatens the Stock Market?

Reports from NASA indicate a huge solar storm coming from the Sun. Apparently these geomagnatic flares can affect telecommunication lines, satellites,......(read more)

Hedge Fund News: Klarman, Buffett, Rogers, Lampert, Ackman…

BAUPOST GROUP
Seth Klarman’s Margin of Safety (Frank Voisin) Seth Klarman’s classic Margin of Safety is the most concise introductory value investing book you can......(read more)

Hedge Fund News: Brevan Howard, Jim Rogers, Bridgewater…

BRIDGEWATER ASSOCIATES
Brevan Overtakes Paulson As World’s Top Hedge Fund (HFM Week) Brevan Howard is now the world’s top hedge fund manager by annualised net gains,......(read more)

Hedge Fund News: Peter Schiff, Jim Rogers, Marc Faber, John Paulson…

PAULSON & CO
Peter Schiff: Why Warren Buffett Is Wrong About Gold (Investment News) The gold doomsayers have found their champion in the media’s favorite financial......(read more)

Hedge Fund News: Buffett & State Street, George Soros, Marc Faber’s Outlook…

Warren Buffett
Movers & Shakers: Buffett’s Insurance Cash Stalling (Bloomberg) Bloomberg’s Betty Liu and Dominic Chu report that Warren Buffett, the......(read more)
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